Publications

Mosciaro MJ, Calamari NC, Peri PL, Montes NF, Seghezzo L, Ortiz E, Rejalaga L, Barral P, Villarino S, Mastrangelo M, Volante J (2022) Future scenarios of land use change in the Gran Chaco: how far is zero-deforestation?. Regional Environmental Change, 22: 115.

Rodríguez-Tapia G, Prieto-Amparán JA, Córdoba-Aguilar A (2022) Linking potential habitats of Odonata (Insecta) with changes in land use/land cover in Mexico. European Journal of Entomology, 119: 272-284.

Santos RA, Juvanhol RS, Agioar AS (2022) Tendential modeling of deforestation in Caatinga Biome in Piauí state. Caminhos da Geografia, 23(88): 103-118.

Quinga Y, Tibán V, Salazar R (2022) Modelling the Urban Growth in the Parish of Machachi, Municipality of Mejía and Its Situation in 2030. In: Botto-Tobar M, Cruz H, Diaz Cadena A (eds) Recent Advances in Electrical Engineering, Electronics and Energy . CIT 2021. Lecture Notes in Electrical Engineering, vol 932 (pp 214–228). Springer, Cham.

Siqueira-Gay J, Metzger JP, Sánchez LE, Sonter LJ (2022) Strategic planning to mitigate mining impacts on protected areas in the Brazilian Amazon. Nature Sustainability.

Gomes E, Inacio M, Kalinauskas M, Rocha J, Pereira P (2022) Scenarios of future land use/land cover changes: impacts on cropland use in Šiauliai region (Lithuania). Geocarto International.

Rosa JCS, Campos PBR, Nascimento CB, Souza BA, Valetch R, Sanchéz LE (2022) Enhancing ecological connectivity through biodiversity offsets to mitigate impacts on habitats of large mammals in tropical forest environments. Impact Assessment and Project Appraisal.

Kusiima SK, Egeru A, Namaalwa J, Byakagaba P, Mfitumukiza D, Mukwaya P (2022) Anthropogenic induced land use/cover change dynamics of Budongo-Bugoma landscape in the Albertine region, Uganda. The Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Science, 25(3): 639-649.

Oliveira CP, Lima RB, Alves-Junior FT, Pessoa MML, Silva AF, Santos NAT, Lopes IJC, Melo CLSS, Silva EA, Silva JAA, Ferreira RLC (2022) Dynamic Modeling of Land Use and Coverage Changes in the Dryland Pernambuco, Brazil. Land, MDPI, 11(7): 998.

Campos PBR, Almeida CM, Queiroz AP (2022) Spatial Dynamic Models for Assessing the Impact of Public Policies: The Case of Unified Educational Centers in the Periphery of São Paulo City. Land, MDPI, 11(6): 922.

Rosa DWB, Silva TFG, Araújo RPZ, Nascimento NO (2022) Hydrological impacts of urban expansion in a Brazilian metropolis – Case study of the Vargem das Flores reservoir catchment. Urban Water Journal.

Petroni ML, Siqueira-Gay J, Gallardo ALCF (2022) Understanding land use change impacts on ecosystem services within urban protected areas. Landscape and Urban Planning 223: 104404.

Bachi L, Carvalho-Ribeiro S (2022) The Sustainability of Non-Timber Forest Products (NTFPs) and Sociobiodiversity in Rural Brazil Through Community-based Tourism. In Farmaki A, Altinay L, Font X (Eds) Planning and Managing Sustainability in Tourism. Tourism, Hospitality & Event Management (Chap. 14, pp. 225-246).

García-Álvarez D, Olmedo MTC, Delden H, Mas JF, Paegelow M (2022) Comparing the structural uncertainty and uncertainty management in four common Land Use Cover Change (LUCC) model software packages. Environmental Modelling & Software, 153: 105411.

Mazy FR, Longaretti PY (2022) A Formally and Algorithmically Efficient LULC change Model-Building Environment. arXiv: 2203.17078.

Ulloa-Espíndola R, Pérez-Albert Y (2022) Validación de un modelo de predicción del crecimiento urbano en Quito (Ecuador) construido mediante pesos de evidencia y autómatas celulares. Revista EURE 48(144): 1-27.

Oliveira U, Soares-Filho B, Bustamante M, Gomes L, Ometto JP, Rajão R (2022) Determinants of Fire Impact in the Brazilian Biomes. Frontiers in Forests and Global Change 5: 735017.

Raso EF, Machava CDA, Nhongo EJS (2022) Mapping of areas degraded by gold mining through remote sensing techniques
along rio revue – Mozambique. Northeast Geosciences Journal 8(1): 1-9.

Cruz JS, Blanco CJC, Oliveira-Júnior JF (2022) Modeling of land use and land cover change dynamics for future projection of the Amazon number curve. Science of The Total Environment 811: 152348.

Branco TL, Almeida CM, Francisco CN (2022) Modelagem Dinâmica Espacial das Mudanças de Uso e Cobertura da Terra na Região Hidrográfica da Baía da Ilha Grande-RJ: um Enfoque Sobre Comunidades Tradicionais e Unidades de Conservação. Revista Brasileira de Cartografia 74(1): 137-158.

Hall JS, Plisinski JS, Mladinich SK, Breugel M, Lai HR, Asner GP, Walker K, Thompson JR (2022) Deforestation scenarios show the importance of secondary forest for meeting Panama’s carbon goals. Landscape Ecology.

2021

Follador M, Soares-Filho BS, Philippidis G, Davis JL, Oliveira AR, Rajão R (2021) Brazil’s sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks. Nature Scientific Reports, 11: 13768.

Leite-Filho AT, Soares-Filho BS, Davis JL, Abrahão GM, Börner J (2021) Deforestation reduces rainfall and agricultural revenues in the Brazilian Amazon. Nature Communications, 12: 2591.

Pacifico R, Almeda F, Fidanza K (2021) Modeling of Microlicieae (Melastomataceae) species composition provides insights into the evolution of campo rupestre vegetation on eastern Brazilian mountaintops. Flora, 281: 151850.

Biondi M, D’Alessandro P, Simone W, Iannella M (2021) DBSCAN and GIE, Two Density-Based “Grid-Free” Methods for Finding Areas of Endemism: A Case Study of Flea Beetles (Coleoptera, Chrysomelidae) in the Afrotropical Region. Insects, MDPI 12(12): 1115.

Barbosa T, Nunes CNR, Cessa RMA, Sano EE, Dusi RM, Bredt A, Couto-Junior AF (2021) Environmental influence on the hantavirosis incidence in the federal district, Brazil. Brazilian Journal of Development 7(12): 120479-120499.

Kabuanga JM, Kankonda OM, Saqalli M, Maestripieri N, Bilintoh TM, Mweru JPM, Liama AB, Nishuli R, Mané L (2021) Historical changes and future trajectories of deforestation in the Ituri-Epulu-Aru landscape (Democratic Republic of the Congo). Land, MDPI, 10(10): 1042.

Cierto LEO, Trinidad MAQ, Aliaga WCL, Quintana ED, Escalante CA, Cierto JDO (2021) Simulación geoespacial y temporal de la deforestación en el distrito de Nueva Requena, Ucayali. Revista de Investigación Científica y Tecnológica Alpha Centauri 2(4): 48-66.

Vaissière AC, Quétier F, Bierry A, Vannier C, Baptist F, Lavorel S (2021) Modeling alternative approaches to the biodiversity offsetting of urban expansion in the Grenoble area (France): what is the role of spatial scales in ‘no net loss’ of wetland area and function? Sustainability, MDPI, 13(11): 5951.

Lopes TMXM, Silva SMO, Oliveira LM, Carvalho TMN, Rodrigues BAM, Frota RL (2021) Modelagem dinâmica espacial aplicada à previsão da demanda hídrica. In: Anais do XXIV Simpósio Brasileiro de Recursos Hídricos, Belo Horizonte: ABRhidro, XXIV-SBRH0690.

Aguilar JAP, Carrasco RB, Morón-Lopez J, Pompa-Pernia AG (2021) Cellular automata and Markov Chain analysis to evaluate soil-water ecosystem regulating services susceptibility to LUCC temporal changes. In: Proceedings of the 18th Annual Meeting of the Asia Oceania Geosciences Society, Singapore: World Scientific Company.

Silva MNF, Lima IJ, Macedo IT, Ronezza CLCP, Antunes ACS, Queiroz AL, Gribel R, Tavares VC, Bobrowiec PED (2021) O acervo de morcegos (Chiroptera) da Coleção de Mamíferos do Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia: representatividade taxonômica, geográfica e histórico das coletas na Amazônia. Brazilian Journal of Mammalogy, 90: e90202133.

Frota A, Ganassin MJM, Pacifico R, Gomes LC, Graça WJ (2021) Spatial distribution patterns and predictors of fish beta-diversity in a large dam-free tributary from a Neotropical floodplain. Echohydrology: e2376.

Cruz JS, Blanco CJC, Oliveira-Júnior JF (2021) Modeling of land use and land cover change dynamics for future projection of the Amazon number curve. Science of The Total Environment: 152348.

Riegel RP, Pereira MAF, Costa GM, Osório DMM, Quevedo DM (2021) Future scenarios: analysis of susceptible areas to floods and mass movements. Revista Portuguesa de Estudos Regionais, 57: 23-32.

Sahagún-Sánchez FJ, Méndez-García AJ, Huerta-Martínez FM, Espinoza-Guzmán, MA (2021) Spatial modeling of fire occurrence probability in a protected area in Western Mexico. Forestist,: 1-12.

Sundaram S, Devaraj S, Yarrakula K (2021) Modeling, mapping and analysis of urban floods in India—a review on geospatial methodologies. Environmental Science and Pollution Research.

Li W, Guo W, Qin Y, Wang L, Niu Z, Svenning JC (2021) Mapping spatio-temporal patterns in global tree cover heterogeneity: links with forest degradation and recovery. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation, 104: 102583.

Almino LMO, Rufino IAA (2021) Dynamic modeling and urban water demand scenarios: simulations in Campina Grande-PB. Engenharia Sanitária e Ambiental, 26(05).

Farfán M, Dominguez C, Espinoza A, Jaramillo A, Alcántara C, Maldonado V, Tovar I, Flamenco A (2021) Forest fire probability under ENSO conditions in a semi-arid region: a case study in Guanajuato. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 193: 684.

Mendoza-Ponce A, Corona-Núñez RO, Nava LF, Estrada F, Calderón-Bustamante O, Martínez-Meyer E, Carabias J, Larralde-Corona AH, Barrios M, Pardo-Villegas PD (2021) Impacts of land management and climate change in a developing and socioenvironmental challenging transboundary region. Journal of Environmental Management, 300: 113748.

Barni PE, Rego ACM, Silva FCF, Lopes RAS, Xaud HAM, Xaud MR, Barbosa RI, Fearnside PM (2021) Logging Amazon forest increased the severity and spread of fires during the 2015–2016 El Niño. Forest Ecology and Management, 500: 119652.

França BT, Andrade MP, Ribeiro CBM, Hippert HS (2021) Dinâmica do uso do solo e alterações na vazão na bacia do Rio São Francisco no início do Séc. XXI. Revista de Gestão de Água da América Latina, 18: e11.

Freitas EV, Araki H (2021) Simulation of urban growth: a case study for Curitiba city, Brazil. Bulletin of Geodetic Sciences, 27: e2021019.

Gaveau DLA, Santos L, Locatelli B, Salim MA, Husnayaen H, Meijaard E, Heatubun C, Sheil D (2021) Forest loss in Indonesian New Guinea (2001–2019): trends, drivers and outlook. Biological Conservation, 261: 109225.

Hinata SS, Basso LA, Santos JG (2021) Mapeamento e avaliação dos serviços ecossistêmicos entre 1985 e 2019 na sub-bacia hidrográfica do Arroio Passo Fundo (Guaíba/RS). Sociedade e Natureza, 33: e59170.

MacLean MG, Duveneck MJ, Plisinski J, Morreale LL, Laflower D, Thompson JR (2021) Forest carbon trajectories: consequences of alternative land-use scenarios in New England. Global Environmental Change, 69: 102310.

Orejuela IFP, Pérez KDA (2021) Modelo predictivo del cambio de cobertura forestal en el Área de Conservación Municipal Quílamo – Cantón Morona. Revista Geoespacial, 18(1): 1-13.

Glotfelty T, Ramírez-Mejía D, Bowden J, Ghilardi A, West J (2021) Limitations of WRF land surface models for simulating land use and land cover change in Sub-Saharan Africa and development of an improved model (CLM-AF v. 1.0). Geoscientific Model Development, 14(6): 3215–3249.

Davis JL, Oliveira AS, Batista ELS, Carvalho-Ribeiro SM, Rajão R, Soares-Filho BS (2021) Aplicação da modelação da dinâmica da paisagem na formulação de políticas públicas. In: Carvalho-Ribeiro SMC, Boscolo D, Ciochetti G, Firmino A, Guiomar N (eds). Ecologia da Paisagem no Contexto Luso-Brasileiro Volume II. Chapter: 4.6, Publisher: Editora Appris.

González-González A, Villegas JC, Clerici N, Salazar JF (2021) Spatial-temporal dynamics of deforestation and its drivers indicate need for locally-adapted environmental governance in Colombia. Ecological Indicators, 126: 107695.

Gomes E, Inácio M, Bogdzevič K, Kalinauskas M, Karnauskaitė D, Pereira P (2021) Future scenarios impact on land use change and habitat quality in Lithuania. Environmental Research, 197: 111101.

Reis M, Graça PMLA, Yanai AM, Ramos CJP, Fearnside PM (2021) Forest fires and deforestation in the central Amazon: Effects of landscape and climate on spatial and temporal dynamics. Journal of Environmental Management, 288: 112310.

Bedewy BAH, Alwan KH, Fleeh MK (2021) Dynamic urban modelling for urban growth varieties and transport: building a complex dynamic model. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 754: 012007.

Gomes WWE, Leite-Filho AT, Soares-Filho BS (2021) Simulação dos impactos das mudanças climáticas globais na evapotranspiração de referência da Bacia Amazônica brasileira. Revista Brasileira de Climatologia, 28: 450-470.

Oliveira AS, Soares-Filho BS, Oliveira U, Van der Hoff R, Carvalho-Ribeiro SM, Oliveira AR, Scheepers LC, Vargas BA, Rajão R (2021) Costs and effectiveness of public and private fire management programs in the Brazilian Amazon and Cerrado. Forest Policy and Economics, 127: 102447.

Ortiz L, Mustafa A, Rosenzweig B McPhearson T (2021) Modeling urban futures: data-driven scenarios of climate change and vulnerability in cities. In: Hamstead ZA, Iwaniec DM, McPhearson T, Berbés-Blázquez M, Cook EM, Muñoz-Erickson TA (eds). Resilient Urban Futures. The Urban Book Series. Chapter: 9, Publisher: Springer, Cham, 129-144.

Oliveira LM, Silva SMO, Souza-Filho FA, Rufino IAA, Brito HC, Lopes TMXM (2021) Modelagem dinâmica da expansão urbana usando autômatos celulares: o caso de Fortaleza-CE. Revista Brasileira de Gestão Urbana, 13: e20200092.

Solana MX, Londoño OMQ, Romanelli A, Donna F, Martínez DE, Weinzettel P (2021) Connectivity of temperate shallow lakes to groundwater in the Pampean Plain, Argentina: a remote sensing and multi-tracer approach. Groundwater for Sustainable Development, 13: 100556.

Carmo ABG, Molin PG (2021) Dinâmica espacial e temporal da cobertura vegetal nativa das zonas de amortecimento das Unidades de Conservação do Estado de São Paulo. XXVII CIC e XII CIDTI.

Pereira P, Gomes E, Inacio M, Bogdzevič K, Karnauskaite D, Kalinauskas M (2021) Mapping and assessment of future land use change impacts on habitat quality in Lithuania. EGU General Assembly 2021, EGU21-3267.

Lima LV, Oliveira U, Almeida TE, Bueno ML, Salino A (2021) Migration barriers in ferns: the case of the neotropical genus Diplopterygium (Gleicheniaceae). Plant Ecology & Diversity.

Oliveira U, Soares-Filho BS, Costa WLS, Gomes L, Bustamante M, Miranda H (2021) Modeling fuel loads dynamics and fire spread probability in the Brazilian Cerrado. Forest Ecology and Management, 482: 118889.

Khatibi A, Jahangir MH, Astaraei FR (2021) Spatial Study for Determining the Optimum Scenario for Generating Solar Electricity
by Predicting the Land-Use Changes: Case of Alborz Province, Iran. Journal of Renewable Energy and Environment, 8(2): 81-90.

Leija EG, Pavón NP, Sánchez-González A, Rodríguez-Laguna R, Ángeles-Pérez G (2021) Dinámica espacio-temporal de uso, cambio de uso y cobertura de suelo en la región centro de la Sierra Madre Oriental: Implicaciones para una estrategia REDD+ (Reducción de Emisiones por la Deforestación y Degradación). Revista Cartográfica, 102: 43-68.

Gaveau D, Santos L, Locatelli B, Salim M, Husnayaen H, Meijaard E, Heatubun C, Sheil D (2021) Forest loss in Indonesian New Guinea: trends, drivers, and outlook. bioRxiv, 431006.

Gama LH, Paiva PF, Silva-Júnior OM, Ruivo ML (2021) Environmental modeling and use of artificial intelligence for prognosis of deforestation: the case of Rebio do Gurupi-MA. Research, Society and Development, 10(2): e13810211609.

Riegel RP, Pereira MAF, Costa GM, Osório DMM, Quevedo DM (2021) Future scenarios: analysis of susceptible areas to floods and mass movements. Revista portuguesa de estudos regionais, 57: 23-32.

MacLean MG, Duveneck M, Plisinski J, Morreale L, Laflower D, Thompson J (2021) Does land use matter? Carbon consequences of alternative land use futures in New England. bioRxiv, 425951.

2020

Rajão R, Soares-Filho B, Nunes F, Borner J, Machado L, Assis D, Oliveira A, Pinto L, Ribeiro V, Rausch L, Gibbs H, Figueira D (2020) The rotten apples of Brazil’s agribusiness. Science, DOI: 10.1126/science.aba6646

Vignola GB, Acs S, Borchardt S, Sala S, Giuntoli J, Smits P, Marelli L (2020) Modelling for sustainable development goals (SDGs): overview of JRC models. EU publications, 90p.

Sabadini SC, Carvalho-Ribeiro SM, Leão ZM, Ruchkys UA, Kikuchi RK, Soares-Filho BS (2020) Modelling susceptibility of Abrolhos reefs to coral bleaching. Desenvolvimento e Meio Ambiente, 54: 312-342.

Oliveira U, Soares-Filho B, Oviedo A, Moreira T, Carlos S, Ricardo J, Piaz A (2020) Modelagem da vulnerabilidade dos povos indígenas no Brasil ao covid-19. Instituto Socioambiental – ISA, Nota técnica.

Li W, Buitenwerf R, Chequín RN, Florentín JE,Salas RM, Mata JC, Wang L, Niu Z, Svenning JC (2020) Complex causes and consequences of rangeland greening in South America – multiple interacting natural and anthropogenic drivers and simultaneous ecosystem degradation and recovery trends. Geography and Sustainability, 1(4): 304-316.

Silva IR, Brovini EM, Pereira RO, Gomes MHR (2020) Influência da precipitação e do uso e ocupação do solo na qualidade da água da bacia do Ribeirão Espírito Santo – Juiz de Fora/MG. Revista de estudos ambientais, 22(1): 35-51.

Viégas VS, Barros LF, Cruz CB, Souza EM (2020) Modelagem da dinâmica espacial urbana por meio de autômatos celulares – uma abordagem prognóstica para 2030 na Área de Planejamento 4 / Rio de Janeiro. Revista Continentes, 17: 297-313.

Linero D, Cuervo-Robavo AP, Etter A (2020) Assessing the future conservation potential of the Amazon and Andes Protected Areas: Using the woolly monkey (Lagothrix lagothricha) as an umbrella species. Journal for Nature Conservation, 58: 125926.

Bielecka E (2020) GIS Spatial Analysis Modeling for Land Use Change. A Bibliometric Analysis of the Intellectual Base and Trends. Geosciences, 10(11): 421.

Gutiérrez MF, Sandoval AF, Padilla CR, Santos LR, Gutiérrez IG, Gao Y (2020) Cartografía de la probabilidad de ocurrencia a incendios forestales para el estado de Guanajuato: Una aproximación antrópica de sus fuentes de ignición. Acta Universitaria, 30: e2953.

Godínez-Gómez O, Schank C, Mas JF, Mendoza E (2020) An integrative analysis of threats affecting protected areas in a biodiversity stronghold in Southeast Mexico. Global Ecology and Conservation, Pre-proof: e01297.

Deus LAB, Oscar-Júnior AC (2020) Tendência de cobertura e uso do solo para a Bacia de Sepetiba: novos elementos para o planejamento ambiental e a gestão do território. Geo UERJ, 37: e37731.

Chang-Martínez L, Mas JF (2020) Simulation of land use/cover change in the kingdom of Calakmul during the late Classic Period (AD 600–900). Environmental Archaeology, 1-17.

Silva CA, Giannotti M, Almeida CM (2020) Dynamic modeling to support an integrated analysis among land use change, accessibility and gentrification. Land Use Policy, 99: 104992.

Liu D, Clarke KC, Chen N (2020) Integrating spatial nonstationarity into SLEUTH for urban growth modeling: a case study in the Wuhan metropolitan area. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 84: 101545.

Martínez L, Vergés F, Medellin J, Mas J (2020) Validación de modelos predictivos de cambio de cubierta y uso del suelo en la península de Baja California, México. Investigaciones Geográficas, 102: e60010.

Pinheiro E, Camini N, Soares M, Sumida S (2020) Cellular automata model: landscape dynamics simulation tool in the process of change in land use and cover in the city of Gaúcha Do Norte – MT. IEEE Latin American GRSS & ISPRS Remote Sensing Conference: 225-229.

Pascoal LM, Parente L, Nogueira HMS, Guimarães-Júnior L (2020) Deforestation polygon assessment tool: providing comprehensive information on deforestation in the Brazilian Cerrado biome. IEEE Latin American GRSS & ISPRS Remote Sensing Conference: 428-433.

Barni P, Barbosa R, Manzi A, Fearnside P (2020) Simulated deforestation versus satellite data in Roraima, Northern Amazonia, Brazil. Sustainability in Debate, 11(2): 78-94.

Bernard B, Aron M, Loy T, Muhamud NW, Benard S (2020) The impact of refugee settlements on land use changes and vegetation degradation in West Nile Sub-region, Uganda. Taylor & Francis, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2019.1704073

Oliveira L, Silva SM, Souza-Filho F, Carvalho TM, Frota R (2020) Forecasting Urban Water Demand Using Cellular Automata. Water, 12(7): 2038.

Thompson JR, Plisinski JS, Lambert KF, Duveneck MJ, Morreale L, McBride M, MacLean MG, Weiss M, Lee L (2020) Spatial Simulation of Codesigned Land Cover Change Scenarios in New England: Alternative Futures and Their Consequences for Conservation Priorities. AGU, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019EF001348

Fiqueroa F, Calzada L, Meave J (2020) Integrating pattern-based modelling and political ecology in land-use change research: the case of Mexican dry tropics. Journal of Land Use Science, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1747423X.2019.1681527

Nascimento N, West T, Biber-Freuderberger L, Sousa-Neto E, Ometto J, Börner J (2020) A Bayesian network approach to modelling land-use decisions under environmental policy incentives in the Brazilian Amazon. Journal of Land Use Science, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1747423X.2019.1709223

Carvalho-Ribeiro SM, Rajão R, Nunes F, Assis D, Ambrósio Neto J, Marcolino C, Lima L, Rickard T, Salomão C, Soares-Filho B (2020) A spatially explicit index for mapping Forest Restoration Vacation (FRV) at the landscape scale: Application in the Rio Doce basin, Brazil. Science of The Total Environment, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.140647

Dib V, Nalon MA, Amazonas NT, Vidal C, Ortiz-Rodriguez I, Danek J, Oliveira M, Alberti P, Silva R, Precinoto R, Gomes T (2020) Drivers of change in biodiversity and ecosystem services in the Cantareira System Protected Area: A prospective analysis of the implementation of public policies. Biota Neotropica, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/1676-0611-bn-2019-0915.

Gay J, Yanai A, Lessman J, Pessôa A, Borja D, Canova M, Borges R (2020) Pathways to positive scenarios for the Amazon forest in Pará state, Brazil. Biota Neotropica, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/1676-0611-bn-2019-0905.

Aguilar-Tomasini MA, Escalante T (2020) Effectiveness of natural protected areas for preventing land use and land cover changes of the Transmexican Volcanic Belt, Mexico. Regional Environmental Change, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-020-01660-3.

Olarinoye T, Foppen JW, Veerbeek W, Morienyane T, Komakech H (2020) Exploring the future impacts of urbanization and climate change on groundwater in Arusha, Tanzania. Journal Water International, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/02508060.2020.1768724.

Li W, Buitenwerf R, Munk M, Amole I, Bocher P, Svenning C (2020) Accelerating savanna degradation threatens the Maasai Mara socio-ecological system. Global Environmental Change, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.102030.

Siqueira-Gay J, Sonter L, Sánchez L (2020) Exploring potential impacts of mining on forest loss and fragmentation within a biodiverse region of Brazil’s northeastern Amazon. Resources Policy, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2020.101662.

Negret P, Maron M, Fuller R, Possingham H, Watson J, Simmonds J (2020) Deforestation and bird habitat loss in Colombia. bioRxiv, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.05.30.125849.

Grinand C, Vieilledent G, Razafinbelo T, Rakotoarijaona J, Nourtier M, Bernoux M (2020) Landscape‐scale spatial modelling of deforestation, land degradation, and regeneration using machine learning tools. Land Degradation & Development, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.3526.

Feng Y, Tong X (2020) A new cellular automata framework of urban growth modeling by incorporating statistical and heuristic methods. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13658816.2019.1648813.

Vieira R, Tomasella J, Barbosa A, Martins M, Rodriguez D, Rezende F, Carriello F, Santana M (2020) Desertification risk assessment in Northeast Brazil: Current trends and future scenarios. Land Degradation & Development, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.3681.

Ramos M, Nóbrega R (2020) Geotecnologias em perícias ambientais: aplicabilidade para estudos em represas de abastecimento e áreas protegidas. Revista Íbero Americana de Ciências Ambientais, DOI: https://doi.org/10.6008/CBPC2179-6858.2020.003.0036.

Vallejo H, Medina J (2020) Generación de un modelo de predicción espacial de la deforestación en la jurisdicción de Corpochivor para el periodo 2017-2047 basado en mapas de cobertura y análisis de variables espaciales con Dinamica EGO. Revista Ibérica de Sistemas e tecnologias de Informação, DOI: E27 (540-552).

Hemati T, Pourebrahim S, Monavari M, Baghvand A (2020) Species-specific nature conservation prioritization (a combination of MaxEnt, Co$ting Nature and DINAMICA EGO modeling approaches). Ecological Modelling, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2020.109093.

Sonter LJ, Simmonds JS, Watson JEM, Jones JPG, Kiesecker JM, Costa HM, Bennun L, Edwars S, Gratham HS, Griffiths VF, Jones K, Schi K, Puydarrieux P, Quétier F, Rainer H, Rainey H, Roe D, Satar M, Soares-Filho BS, Starkey M, Kate K, Victurine R, Hase A, Wells J, Maron M (2020) Local conditions and policy design determine whether ecological compensation can achieve No Net Loss goals. Nature Communications, DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-15861-1.

Brando PM, Soares-Filho B, Rodrigues L, Assunção A, Morton D, Tuchschneider D, Fernandes ECM, Macedo MN, Oliveira U and Coe MT (2020) The gathering firestorm in southern Amazonia. Science Advances, DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aay1632.

Yang J, Gong J, Tang W, Liu C (2020) Patch-based cellular automata model of urban growth simulation: Integrating feedback between quantitative composition and spatial configuration. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, v. 79: 101402.

Feng Y, Tong X (2020) A new cellular automata framework of urban growth modeling by incorporating statistical and heuristic methods. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, v. 34: 74-97.

Ahmadisharaf E, Lacher IL, Fergus C, Benham BL, Akre T, Kline KS (2020) Projecting land use change impacts on nutrients, sediment and runoff in multiple spatial scales: Business-as-usual vs. stakeholder-informed scenarios. Journal of Cleaner Production, v. 257: 120466.

Paiva ACE, Nascimento N, Rodriguez DA, Tomasella J, Carriello F, Rezende FS (2020) Urban expansion and its impact on water security: The case of the Paraíba do Sul River Basin, São Paulo, Brazil. Science of The Total Environment, v. 720: 137509.

Bachi L, Ribeiro SC, Hermes J, Saadi A (2020) Cultural Ecosystem Services (CES) in landscapes with a tourist vocation: Mapping and modeling the physical landscape components that bring benefits to people in a mountain tourist destination in southeastern Brazil. Tourism Management, v. 77: 104017.

Batista E, Soares Filho B, Rajão R, Barbosa F, COsta M, Nunes F, Davis J, Oliveira A, Machado L, Rodrigues H, Leitão R, Figueira D, Dias F, Assis D (2020) Cenários para a intensificação da bovinocultura de corte brasileira. 1 ed: IGC/UFMG, Belo Horizonte, 65p.

Vilela T, Harb AM, Bruner A, Arruda VLS, Ribeiro V, Alencar AAC, Grandez AJE, Rojas A, Laina A, Botero R (2020) A better Amazon road network for people and the environment. PNAS. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1910853117.

Tomasiello DB, Giannotti M, Feitosa FF (2020) ACCESS: An agent-based model to explore job accessibility inequalities. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compenvurbsys.2020.101462.

Andrade MP, Ribeiro CBM (2020) Impacts of land use and cover change on Paraíba do Sul whatershed streamflow using the SWAT model. Brazilian Journal of Water Resources. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/2318-0331.252020190034.

Woldeyohannes A, Cotter M, Biru WD, Kelboro G (2020) Assessing Changes in Ecosystem Service Values over 1985–2050 in Response to Land Use and Land Cover Dynamics in Abaya-Chamo Basin, Southern Ethiopia. MDPI. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/land9020037.

Cheng L, Liu M, Zhan J (2020) Land use scenario simulation of mountainous districts based on Dinamica EGO model. Journal of Mountain Science. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-019-5491-y.

Sánchez-Cuervo AM, Lima LS, Dallmeier F, Garate P, Bravo A, Vanthomme H (2020) Twenty years of land cover change in the southeastern Peruvian Amazon: implications for biodiversity conservation. Regional Environmental Change. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-020-01603-y.

Oliveira BR, Costa EL, Carvalho-Ribeiro SM, Maia-Barbosa PM (2020) Land use dynamics and future scenarios of the Rio Doce State Park buffer zone, Minas Gerais, Brazil. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-019-8016-9.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2019

Batista E, Soares-Filho B, Barbosa F, Merry F, Davis J, Van der Hoff R, Rajão RG (2019) Large-scale pasture restoration may not be the best option to reduce greenhouse gas emissions in Brazil. Environmental Research Letters, 14(12): 125009.

Follador M, Philippidis G, Davis J, Soares Filho B (2019) Assessing the impacts of the EU bioeconomy on third countries: Potential environmental impacts in Brazil of EU biofuel demand to 2030. Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2019, ISBN 978-92-76-09820-1, doi:10.2760/304776, JRC117364.

Nascimento N, West TAP, Biber-Freudenberger L, Sousa-Neto ER, Ometto J, Börner J (2019) A Bayesian network approach to modelling land-use decisions under environmental policy incentives in the Brazilian Amazon. Journal of Land Use Science, https://doi.org/10.1080/1747423X.2019.1709223.

Vanthomme H, Sánchez-Cuervo AM, Garate P, Dallmeier F, Bravo A (2019) The Future of Madre de Dios: Smithsonian’s Working Landscape Simulator for Sustainable Development. The Smithsonian Institution. Washington, D.C., USA: Smithsonian Scholarly Press, 138p. ISBN: 978-1-944466-28-2.

Andrade H, Borges I, Fushita A, Vasconcelos V (2019) Influências na expansão urbana do município de Ilha Comprida – SP. IX Encontro Nacional da Conexões-Democracia-Sustentabilidade. Brasília, DF.

Jimézez AA, Delgado MG, Benavente FA, Vilchez FF (2019) SIMULACIÓN DEL CRECIMIENTO URBANO DE LA ZONA METROPOLITANA TEPIC-XALISCO, MÉXICO. Estudos Geográficos. DOI: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5472-255X.

Souza IN, Nóbrega RAA, Ribeiro SM (2019) O Papel das Infraestruturas Ferroviárias nas Mudanças de Uso e Cobertura do Solo no MATOPIBA. Revista do Departamento de Geografia da USP. DOI: https://doi.org/10.11606/rdg.v38i1.149574.

Oliveira BR, Costa EL, Carvalho-Ribeiro SM, Maia-Barbosa PM (2019) Land use dynamics and future scenarios of the Rio Doce State Park buffer zone, Minas Gerais, Brazil. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, v. 192, n. 39.

Pereira MPR (2019) Modelagem de mudança do uso da terra no nordeste do Mato Grosso: possibilidades de análise ambiental a partir da revolução da geografia quantitativa. Cadernos do Leste, v. 19, n. 19.

Piontekowski VJ, Ribeiro FP, Matricardi EAT, Lustosa Junior IV, Bussinguer AP, Gatto A (2019) Modeling Deforestation in the State of Rondônia.Floresta e Ambiente. Doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/2179-8087.044118

Adams AB, Pontius J, Galford G, Gudex-Cross D (2019) Simulating forest cover change in the northeastern U.S.: decreasing forest area and increasing fragmentation.Landscape Ecology. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-019-00896-7

Osis R, Laurent F, Poccard-Chapuis R (2019) Spatial determinants and future land use scenarios of Paragominas municipality, an old agricultural frontier in Amazonia. Journal of Land Use Science. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1080/1747423X.2019.1643422

Negret PJ, Sonter L, Watson JEM, Possingham HP, Jones KR, Suarez C, Ochoa-Quintero JM, Maron M (2019) Emerging evidence that armed conflict and coca cultivation influence deforestation patterns. Biological Conservation. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2019.07.021

Sharma P, Thapa RB, Matin MA (2019) Examining forest cover change and deforestation drivers in Taunggyi district, Shan State, Myanmar. Environment, Development and Sustainability. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-019-00436-y

Oviedo A, Soares-Filho B, Lima WP, Santos TM, Leles W, Ribeiro A(2019) Ameaças futuras aos territórios dos povos isolados na Amazônia brasileira. In: Ricardo F, Gongora MF (Org.) Cercos e resistências: povos indígenas na Amazônia Brasileira. São Paulo: Instituto Socioambiental. ISBN: 978-85-8226-073-9

Marlier ME, Liu T, Yu K, Buonocore JJ, Koplitz SN, DeFries RS, Mickley L, Jacob DJ, Schwartz J, Wardhana BS, Myers SS (2019) Fires, Smoke Exposure, and Public Health: An Integrative Framework to Maximize Health Benefits From Peatland Restoration. Advancing Earth and Space Science. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GH000191

Vannier C, Bierry A, Longaretti PY, Nettier B, Cordonnier T, Chauvin C, Bertrand N, Quétier F, Lasseur R, Lavorel S (2019) Co-constructing future land-use scenarios for the Grenoble region, France. Landscape and Urban Planning. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2019.103614

Oliveira U, Soares Filho BS, Leitão RFM, Rodrigues HO (2019) BioDinamica: a toolkit for analyses of biodiversity and biogeography on the Dinamica-EGO modelling platform. PeerJ 7:e7213

Oliveira AS, Rajão RG, Soares Filho BS, Oliveira U, Santos LR, Assunção AC, van der Hoff R, Rodrigues HO, Ribeiro SMC, Merry F, Lima LS (2019) Economic losses to sustainable timber production by fire in the Brazilian Amazon. The Geographical Journal: 1-13

Lopes E, Soares-Filho B, Souza F, Rajão R, Merry F, Carvalho Ribeiro S (2019) Mapping the socio-ecology of Non Timber Forest Products (NTFP) extractionin the Brazilian Amazon: The case of açaí (Euterpe precatoriaMart) in Acre. Landscape and Urban Planning. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2018.08.025

Oliveira U, Soares-Filho BS, Santos AJ, Paglia AP, Brescovit AD, Carvalho CJB, Silva DP, Rezende DT, Leite FSF, Batista JAN, Barbosa JP, Stehmann JR, Ascher JS, Vasconcelos MF, De Marco P, Löwenberg-Neto P & Ferro VG (2019) Modelling Highly Biodiverse Areas in Brazil. Nature Scientific Reports: 6355.

Ferreira BM, Soares Filho BS, Pereira FMQ (2019) The Dinamica EGO Virtual Machine. Science of Computer Programming. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scico.2018.02.002

Stan K, Sanchez-Azofeifa A (2019) Deforestation and secondary growth in Costa Rica along the path of development. Regional Environmental Change. 19: 587-597.

Duveneck MJ, Thompson JR (2019) Social and biophysical determinants of future forest conditions in New England: Effects of a modern land-use regime. Global Environmental Change.Doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.01.009

Ren Y, Lu Y, Comber A, Fu B, Harris P, Wu L (2019) Spatially explicit simulation of land use/land cover changes: Current coverage and future prospects. Earth-Science Reviews.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2019.01.001

Conde Blanco EA (2019) Mecanismos de conservación y su impacto en la dinámica del cambio de cobertura y uso de suelo en dos subcuencas de la Costa de Jalisco, México. Soluciones para el ambiente y desarrollo.

Siqueira-Gay J, Sánchez LE (2019) Processes of land use and cover change in two mining regions: implications for conservation in the Amazon Forest. Anais do XIX Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto.INPE – Santos (SP).

Lacher IL, Ahmadisharaf E, Fergus C, Akre T, Mcshea W, Benham BL, Kline KS (2019) Scale-dependent impacts of urban and agricultural land use on nutrients, sediment, and runoff. Science of th Total Environment.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.370

Santos JFC, Gleriani JM, Velloso SGS, Souza GSA, Amaral CH, Torres FT, Medeiros NG (2019) Wildfires as a major challenge for natural regeneration in Atlantic Forest. Science of th Total Environment.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.016

Prieto-Amparán JA, Villarreal-Guerrero F, Matínez-Salvador M, Manjarrez-Domíngues C, Vázquez-Quintero G, Pinedo-Alvarez A (2019) Spatial near future modeling of land use and land cover changes in the temperate forests of Mexico. Environmental Science.

Pérez A, Dennise K, Benavides C, Selena B (2019) Modelamiento del crecimiento urbano en el Cantón Ibarra al año 2025 para la planificación del uso y ocupación del suelo. Trabajo de Titulación (Ingeniero Geógrafo Y Del Medio Ambiente). Universidad de las Fuerzas Armadas, Sangolquí.

Gomes WWE, Leon MB, Santos JP (2019) MODELAGEM DO DESMATAMENTO NA REGIÃO ECÓTONA ENTRE OS BIOMAS CERRADO E AMAZÔNIA. Anais do XIX Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto. INPE – Santos, São Paulo, Brasil.

Campos PBR, Queiroz AP, Almeida CM (2019) AUTÔMATO CELULAR APLICADO NA ANÁLISE DA DINÂMICA DO USO E OCUPAÇÃO NO ENTORNO DO CENTRO EDUCACIONAL UNIFICADO CAMPO LIMPO, SÃO PAULO-BRASIL. Anais do XIX Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto. INPE – Santos, São Paulo, Brasil.

Riegel RP, Alves DD, Birlem LE, Schmidt B, Rodrigues MAS, Quevedo DM (2019) Methodology of modelling: simulation of urban scenarios. Revista Conhecimento, Doi: https://doi.org/10.25112/rco.v3i0.1856.

Domazetovic F, Siljeg A, Loncar N, Maric I (2019) Development of automated multicriteria GIS analysis of gully erosion susceptibility. Applied Geography. Doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2019.102083.

Cove MV, Fergus C, Lacher I, Akre T, McShea W (2019) Projecting Mammal Distributions in Response to Future Alternative Landscapes in a Rapidly Transitioning Region. Remote Sensing. Doi: https://doi.org/10.3390/rs11212482.

Gounaridis D, Chorianopoulos I, Symeonakis E, Koukoulas S (2019) A Random Forest-Cellular Automata modelling approach to explore future land use/cover change in Attica (Greece), under different socio-economic realities and scales. Science of the Total Environment. DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.07.302

Chen Y, Cui J, He L, Men M (2019) Optimal Simulation of the Land-Use Structure Based on the Local Ecological Environment: the Case of Huanghua City in Hebei Province, China. Revista Brasileira de Ciência do Solo. Doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1590/18069657rbcs20180063.

Romero-Rojas W, Vázquez-Jiménez R, Ramos-Bernal RN (2019) Estudio de susceptibilidad a procesos de remoción en masa. Caso de estudio: Zona centro del Estado de Guerrero, México, mediante herramientas geotecnológicas. Revista Geográfica.98: 201-221.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2018

Ghilardi A, Tarter A, Bailis R (2018) Potential environmental benefits from woodfuel transitions in Haiti: Geospatial scenarios to 2027. Environmental Research Letters, 13(3): 035007.

Zumpano V, Pisano L, Malek Z, Micu M, Aucelli PPC, Rosskopf CM, Balteanu D, Parise M (2018) Economic Losses for Rural Land Value Due to Landslides. Earth Science. Doi: https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2018.00097.

Rufino I, Alves P, Grangeiro E, Santos K (2018) Dynamic Scenarios and Water Management Simulations: Towards to an Integrated Spatial Analysis Approach in Water Urban Planning. Dynamic Scenarios and Water Management Simulations. DOI: https://doi.org/10.29007/7zm8.

Hissa LBV, Muller H, Aguiar APD, Hostert P, Lakes T (2018) Historical carbon fluxes in the expanding deforestation frontier of Southern Brazilian Amazonia (1985–2012). Regional Environmental Change, 18:77-89.

Gutiérrez MF, Pérez-Salicrup DR, Flamenco-Sandoval A, Nicasio-Arzeta S, Mas JF, Ramírez IR (2018) Modeling anthropic factors as drivers of wildfire occurrence at the Monarch Butterfly Biosphere. Madera y Bosques. DOI: 10.21829/myb.2018.2431591

Cruz Júnior UB, Pereira PA (2018) Modelagem da Antropização da Paisagem como Ferramenta de Apoio à Análise de Sub-bacias no Distrito Federal.Brasília em Debate,19: 24-30.

Hernández LJM, Medina IO, Gutiérrez MF, Galván XD, Rodríguez JJM (2018) Evaluación del efecto del cambio de uso de suelo sobre la disponibilidad hídrica de las fuentes: superficial y subterránea, usando como caso de estudio la cuenca del río Turbio en Guanajuato. Jóvenes en La Ciencia,4: 1030-1035.

Perdomo LRD, Orozco IM, Gutiérrez MF, Galván XD, Rodríguez JJM (2018) Evaluación del efecto del cambio de uso de suelo y cambio climático sobre la producción de sedimentos por erosión hídrica que afecta las fuentes de abastecimiento superfical: caso de estudio la cuenca del río Turbio em Guanajuato. Jóvenes en La Ciencia,4: 1019-1023.

Santos Jr MA, Yanai AM, Sousa Jr FO, Freitas IS, Freitas IS, Pinheiro HP, Oliveira ACR, Silva FL, GRaça PMLA, Fearnside PM (2018) BR-319 como propulsora de desmatamento: simulando o impacto da rodovia Manaus-Porto Velho. Manaus: IDESAM.

Santos Jr MA, Yanai AM, Sousa Jr FO, Freitas IS, Freitas IS, Pinheiro HP, Oliveira ACR, Silva FL, GRaça PMLA, Fearnside PM (2018) BR-319 como propulsora de desmatamento: simulando o impacto da rodovia Manaus-Porto Velho – Material Suplementar. Manaus: IDESAM.

Barni PE, Fearnside PM, Graça PMLA (2018) Simulando desmatamento e perda de carbono na AMazônia: impactos no Estado de Roraima devido à reconstrução da BR-319 (Manaus – Porto Velho). In: Oliveira SKS, Falcão MT (eds.) Roraima: Biodiversidade e Diversidades. Editora da Universidade Estadual de Roraima (UERR), Boa Vista, Roraima. p. 154-173.

Lima LS, Merry F, Soares-Filho B, Rodrigues HO, Damaceno CS, Bauch MA (2018) Illegal logging as a disincentive to the establishment of a sustainable forest sector in the Amazon. Plos One 13(12): e0207855. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0207855

Strand J, Soares-Filho B, Costa HM, Oliveira U, Ribeiro SC, Pires GF, Oliveira A, Rajão R, May P, Hoff R, Siikamäki J, Motta RS, Toman M (2018) Spatially explicit valuation of the Brazilian Amazon Forest’s Ecosystem Services. Nature Sustainability: 657-664.

Alegría AL, Rios MJ, Sandoval AF, Gutiérres MF (2018) Análisis y modelación espacial de los patrones de deforestación (2005-2025) en la microcuenca La Unión del municipio de Chiapa de Corzo, Chiapas. Sociedad y Ambiente: 117-143.

Stan K, Sanchez-Azofeifa A (2018) Deforestation and secondary growth in Costa Rica along the path of development Regional Environmental Change. DOI: 10.1007/s10113-018-1432-5

Leija-Loredo EG, Pavón NP, Sánchez-González A, Rodriguez-Laguna R, Ángeles-Pérez G (2018) Land cover change and carbon stores in a tropical montane cloud forest in the Sierra Madre Oriental, Mexico. Science of Mountain Science: 15 (10), 2136-2147.

Campos PBR, Almeida CM, Queiroz AP (2018) Educational infrastructure and its impact on urban land use change in a peri-urban area: a cellular-automata based approach. Land Use Policy. DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.08.036

Lopes E, Soares-Filho BS, Souza F, Rajão RG, Merry F, Ribeiro SC (2018) Mapping the socio-ecology of Non Timber Forest Products (NTFP) extraction in the Brazilian Amazon: The case of açaí (Euterpe precatoria Mart) in Acre. Landscape and Urban Planning. DOI: doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2018.08.025

Mendoza-Ponce A, Núnez-Corona R, Kraxner F, Leduc S, Patrizio P (2018) Identifying effects of land use cover changes and climate change on terrestrial ecosystems and carbon stocks in Mexico. Global Environmental Change. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2018.08.004

Ahmed F, Moors E, Khan SA, Wamer J, Scheltinga CT (2018) Tipping points in adaptation to urban flooding under climate change and urban growth: The case of the Dhaka megacity. Land Use Policy. DOI: 10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.05.051

Molin PG, Chazdon R, Ferraz SFB, Brancalion PHS (2018) A landscape approach for cost‐effective large‐scale forest restoration. Journal of Applied Ecology. DOI: 10.1111/1365-2664.13263

Ramos CJP, Graça PMLA, Fearnside PM (2018) Deforestation Dynamics on an Amazonian Peri-Urban Frontier: Simulating the Influence of the Rio Negro Bridge in Manaus, Brazil. Environmental Management. DOI: 10.1007/s00267-018-1097-3

Pavani BF, Sousa Júnior WC, Inouye CEN, Vieira SA, Mello AYI (2018) Estimating and valuing the carbon release in scenarios of land-use and climate changes in a Brazilian coastal area. Journal of Environmental Management. DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2018.08.059

Mendoza-Ponce A, Núnez-Corona R, Galicia L, Kraxner F (2018) Identifying hotspots of land use cover change under socioeconomic and climate change scenarios in Mexico. Ambio. DOI: 10.1007/s13280-018-1085-0

Monteiro Junior JJ, Silva EA, Reis ALA, Santos JPMS (2018) Dynamical spatial modeling to simulate the forest scenario in Brazilian dry forest landscapes. Geology, Ecology, and Landscapes. DOI: 10.1080/24749508.2018.1481658

Khatibi A, Pourebrahim S, Mokhtar MB (2018) Simulating carbon sequestration using cellular automata and land use assessment for Karaj, Iran. Solid Earth. DOI: 10.5194/se-9-735-2018

Zhang T, Tian B, Bo S, Yuan L, Zhao Y, Yuan X (2018) Mapping the conservation priority of migratory shorebird habitat on a dynamic deltaic coast. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science. DOI: 10.1016/j.ecss.2018.07.010

Belda-Carrasco R, Iranzo-García E, Pascual Aguilar AJ (2018) Calibración de las Transformaciones del Paisaje en
espacios litorales: el área de Castelló de la Planat. Tecnologías de la Información Geográfica: perspectivas multidisciplinares
en la sociedad del conocimiento, Universitat de València, p. 368 -378.

Rochedo PRR, Soares-Filho BS, Schaeffer R, Viola E, Szklo A, Lucena AFP, Koberle A, Davis JL, Rajão R, Rathmann R (2018) The threat of political bargaining to climate mitigation in Brazil. Nature Climate Change. Doi: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0213-y.

Troupin D, Carmel Y (2018) Conservation planning under uncertainty in urban development and vegetation dynamics. Plos One 13(4): e0195429.

Lahboub Y, Bachaoui EM, Harti AE, Ghmari AE(2018) Multi-level Cellular Automata-based housing allocation model for small cities in developing countries: a case study of Kasba-Tadla city, in Morocco. International Journal of Urban Sustainable Development. Doi: 10.108019463138.2018.1461628

Szlo A, Lucena A, Schaeffer R, Soares-Filho BS, Davis JL, Rajão R, Haddad EA, Domingues EP, Campos A, Koberle A, Ribeiro A, Lima E, Barbosa FA, Império M, Rochedo P, Maia S, Costa WLS (2018) Modelagem Integrada e Impactos Econômicos de Opções Setoriais de Baixo Carbono. Brasília: Ministério da Ciência Tecnologia, Inovações e Comunicações, ONU Meio Ambiente, 120 p. ISBN: 978-85-88063-55-6.

Argotty F, Zamora Pereira JC, Brenes Pérez C., Schlesinger, P, Cifuentes Jara M, Imbach P, Chacón M(2018) Manual metodológico para la construcción de nivelesde referencia para REDD+. Programa Regional de Cambio Climático de USAID.

Vázquez-Jiménez R, Ramos-Bernal RN, Romero- Calcerrada R, Arrogante-Funes P, Tizapa SS, Novillo CJ (2018) Thresholding Algorithm Optimization for Change Detection to Satellite Imagery. DOI: 10.5772/intechopen.71002.

Sahagún-Sánchez FJ, Reyes-Hernández H(2018) Impactos por cambio de uso de suelo en las áreas naturales protegidas de la región central de la Sierra Madre Oriental, México. Ciencia UAT 12(2): 06-21.

Khatibi A, Pourebrahim S,Danehkar A(2018) A cellular automata model for monitoring and simulating urban land use/cover changes toward sustainability. Journal of Environmental Engineering and Landscape Management 26(1): 1-7.

Adams AB, Pontius J, Galford GL, Merrill SC, Gudex-Cross D (2018) Modeling carbon storage across a heterogeneous mixed temperate forest: the influence of forest type specificity on regional-scale carbon storage estimates. Landscape Ecology 33 (4): 641-658.

Zhang R, Tian Q, Jiang L, Crooks A, Qi S, Yang R (2018) Projecting cropping patterns around Poyang lake and prioritizing areas for policy intervention to promote rice: A cellular automata model. Land Use Policy 74: 248-260.

Gounaridis D, Chorianopoulos I, Koukoulas S (2018) Exploring prospective urban growth trends under different economic outlooks and land-use planning scenarios: The case of Athens. Applied Geography 90: 134-144.

Mas J, Rodrigues H (2018) Cellular Automaton. In: Camacho OM, Paegelow M, Mas JF, Escobar F (eds) Geomatic Approaches for Modeling Land Change Scenarios. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography. Springer, Cham.

Miranda CS, Paranho Filho AC, Pott A (2018) Changes in vegetation cover of the Pantanal wetland detected by Vegetation Index: a strategy for conservation. Biota Neotrop. 18(1): e20160297.

Ribeiro SMC, Soares-Filho BS, Costa WL, Bachi L, Oliveira AR, Bilotta P, Saadi A, Lopes E, O’Riordan T, Pennacchio HL (2018) Can multifunctional livelihoods including recreational ecosystem services (RES) and non timber forest products (NTFP) maintain biodiverse forests in the Brazilian Amazon? Ecosystem Services.

Soares-Filho BS, Campos A, Koberle AC, Ribeiro A, Alvim F, Davis JL, Rajão R, Maia S, Costa WLS (2018) Modelagem Setorial de Opções de Baixo Carbono para Agricultura, Florestas e Outros Usos do Solo (AFOLU). Brasília: Ministério da Ciência Tecnologia, Inovações e Comunicações, ONU Meio Ambiente, 400 p. ISBN: 978-85-85-88063-35-8.

Lima TC, Ribeiro SC, Soares Filho BS (2018) Integrating Econometric and Spatially Explicit Dynamic Models to Simulate Land Use Transitions in the Cerrado Biome. In: Camacho OM, Paegelow M, Mas JF, Escobar F (eds) Geomatic Approaches for Modeling Land Change Scenarios. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography: 399-417.

Rodrigues H, Soares Filho BS (2018) A Short Presentation of Dinamica EGO. In: Camacho OM, Paegelow M, Mas JF, Escobar F (eds) Geomatic Approaches for Modeling Land Change Scenarios. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography: 493-498.

Macedo RC, Almeida CM, Santos JR (2018) Modelagem dinâmica espacial da exansão da agricultura em Campos Novos-SC. GeoSul: 260-285.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold

2017

Thompson JR, Plisinski JS, Olofsson P, Holden CE, Duveneck MJ (2017) Forest loss in New England: A projection of recent trends. PLoS ONE 12(12): e0189636.

Leija-loredo EG, Pavón NP (2017) The northernmost tropical rain forest of the Americas: Endangered by agriculture expansion. Tropical Ecology 58(3): 641–652.

Mas JF, Rodrigues H (2017) Cellular Automaton. In: Camacho OM, Paegelow M, Mas JF, Escobar F (eds) Geomatic Approaches for Modeling Land Change Scenarios. Lecture Notes in Geoinformation and Cartography: 421-424.

Mas JF, Rodríguez RL, López RG, Sánchez JL, Garduño AP, Flores EH (2017) Land use/land cover change detection combining automatic processing and visual interpretation. European Journal of Remote Sensing 50 (1): 2279-7254.

Mas JF, Rodríguez RL, Gonzáles R, Sánchez JL, Garduño AP, Flores EH(2017) Evaluación de las tasas de deforestación en Michoacán a escala detallada mediante un método híbrido de clasificación de imágenes SPOT. Madera y Bosques 23 (2): 119-131.

Roriz PAC, Yanai AM, Fearnside M (2017) Deforestation and Carbon Loss in Southwest Amazonia: Impact of Brazil’s Revised Forest Code. Environmental Management 60 (3): 367-382.

Sonter LJ, Tomsett N, Wu D, Maron M (2017) Biodiversity offsetting in dynamic landscapes: Influence of regulatory context and counterfactual assumptions on achievement of no net loss. Biological Conservation 206: 314 -319.

Oliveira U, Soares-Filho BS, Paglia AP, Brescovit AD, de Carvalho CJB, Silva DP, Rezende DT, Leite FSF, Batista JAN, Barbosa JPPP, Stehmann JR, Ascher JS, Vasconcelos MF, Marco P, Löwenberg-Neto P, Ferro VG and Santos AJ (2017) Biodiversity conservation gaps in the Brazilian protected areas. Nature Scientific Reports 7(9141).

Jaramillo-Giraldo C, Soares-Filho BS, Ribeiro SMC, Gonçalves RC (2017) Is It Possible to Make Rubber Extraction Ecologically and Economically Viable in the Amazon? The Southern Acre and Chico Mendes Reserve Case Study. Ecological Economics 134: 186-197.

Gago-Silva A, Ray N, Lehmann A (2017) Spatial Dynamic Modelling of land use change in Vaud and Valais, Western Switzerland. International Journal of Geo-Information 6(4): 1-21.

Stan KD, Sanchez-Azofeifa A (2017) The Edmonton-Calgary corridor: simulating future land cover change under potential government intervention. Land Use Policy 63: 356-368.

Vázquez-Jiménez R, Romero-Calcerrada R, Novillo CJ, Ramos-Bernal RN, Arrogante-Funes P(2017) Applying the chi-square transformation and automatic secant thresholding to Landsat imagery as unsupervised change detection methods. Journal of Applied Remote Sensing 11(1): 16016.

Ramírez-Mejía D, Cuevas G, Meli P, Mendoza E (2017) Land use and cover change scenarios in the Mesoamerican Biological Corridor-Chiapas, México. Botanical Sciences 95(2): 1-12.

Malek Z, Zumpano V, Hussin H (2017) Forest management and future changes to ecosystem services in the Romanian Carpathians. Environment, Development and Sustainability 1-17.

Molin PG, Gergel SE, Soares-Filho B, Ferraz SFB (2017) Spatial determinants of Atlantic Forest loss and recovery in Brazil. Landscape Ecology 32(4): 857-870.

Nunes FSM, Soares-Filho B, Rajão R, Merry F (2017) Enabling large-scale forest restoration in Minas Gerais state, Brazil. Environmental Research Letters 12(4): 2-10.

Soares-Filho BS, Lima LS, Oliveira AS, Ribeiro SMC, Rodrigues HO, Oliveira U, Costa WLS, Oliveira AR, Merry F, Teixeira ILS, Gomes WWE, Figueira DS (2017) Economic Valuation of Changes in the Amazon Forest Area: Value maps for Timber Forest Products. Remote Sensing Center of the Federal University of Minas Gerais. Belo Horizonte, Brazil: IGC/UFMG. 37 p. ISBN: 978-85-61968-05-2.

Soares-Filho BS, Ribeiro SMC, Oliveira U, Costa WLS, Oliveira AR, Merry F, Teixeira ILS, Gomes WWE, Figueira DS, Rodrigues HO (2017) Economic Valuation of Changes in the Amazon Forest Area: Value maps for Non Timber Forest Products (NTFPs). Remote Sensing Center of the Federal University of Minas Gerais. Belo Horizonte, Brazil: IGC/UFMG. 82 p. ISBN: 978-85-61968-06-9.

Soares-Filho BS, Oliveira AS, Rajão R, Oliveira U, Santos LRS, Assunção AC, Rodrigues HO, Oliveira AR, Merry F, Costa WLS, Brando P, Ribeiro SMC, Teixeira ILS (2017) Economic Valuation of Changes in the Amazon Forest Area: Economic Losses by Fires to Sustainable Timber Production. Remote Sensing Center of the Federal University of Minas Gerais. Belo Horizonte, Brazil: IGC/UFMG. 46 p. ISBN: 978-85-61968-09-0.

Oliveira U, Soares-Filho BS, Costa WLS, Ribeiro SMC, Oliveira AR, Teixeira ILS, Figueira DS, Rodrigues HO (2017) Economic Valuation of Changes in the Amazon Forest Area: Priority Areas for Biodiversity Conservation in the Brazilian Amazon. Remote Sensing Center of the Federal University of Minas Gerais. Belo Horizonte, Brazil: IGC/UFMG. 32 p. ISBN: 978-85-61968-07-6.

Stan K and Sanchez A (2017) Modelling deforestation trends in Costa Rica and predicting future forest sustainability. Geophysical Research Abstracts 19: EGU2017-5556-1.

Silva EA, Tramontina J, Alba E, Goergen LCG, Finge AP, Pereira RS (2017) Forest cover analysis through the weights of evidence method in the campanha ocidental region – RS (Brazil). Revista Árvore 41(1): e410105.

Meneses BM, Reis E, Pereira S, Vale MJ, Reis R (2017) Understanding Driving Forces and Implications Associated with the Land Use and Land Cover Changes in Portugal. Sustainability 9(3): 1-20.

Maithani S, Begum A, Kumar P, Kumar AS (2017) Simulation of peri-urban growth dynamics using weights of evidence approach. Geocarto International 1-20.

Reddy CS, Singh S, Dadhwal VK, Jha CS, Rao NR, Diwakar PG (2017) Predictive modelling of the spatial pattern of past and future forest cover changes in India. Journal of Earth System Science 126(8): 1-16.

Faria BL, Brando P, Macedo M, Panday P, Soares-Filho BS, Coe M (2017) Current and future patterns of fire-induced forest degradation in Amazonia. Environmental Research Letters.

Vega AP, Álvarez FR, García HHR (2017) Spatial distribution of land use/cover and forest degradation in Sierra Gorda of Guanajuato biosphere reserve. Acta Universitaria Multidiciplinary Scientific Journal 26(2): 33-44.

Kolb M and Galicia L (2017) Scenarios and story lines: drivers of land use change in southern Mexico. Environment, Development and Sustainability 1-22.

Houet T, Grémont M, Vacquié L, Forget Y, Marriotti A, Puissant A, Bernardie S, Thiery Y, Vandromme R, Grandjean G (2017) Downscaling scenarios of future land use and land cover changes using a participatory approach: an application to mountain risk assessment in the Pyrenees (France). Regional Environmental Change 1-15.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2016

Laurance WF, Camargo JLC, Fearnside PM, Lovejoy TE, Williamson GB, Mesquita RCG, Meyer CFJ, Bobrowiec PED, Laurance SGW (2016) An Amazonian rainforest and its fragments as a laboratory of global change. In: Nagy L, Forsberg B, Artaxo P (eds.) Interactions between biosphere, atmosphere and human land use in the Amazon basin. Springer (Ecological Studies 227), Berlin, Alemanha. 478p.

Ghilardi A, Bailis R, Mas JF, Skutsch M, Elvir JA, Quevedo A, Masera O, Dwivedi P, Drigo R, Vega E (2016) Spatiotemporal modeling of fuelwood environmental impacts: Towards improved accounting for non-renewable biomass. Environmental Modelling & Software 82: 241-254.

Soares-Filho BS, Rajão R, Merry F, Rodrigues H, Davis J (2016) Brazil’s Market for Trading Forest Certificates. Plos One 11(4): e0152311.

Azevedo MN, Oliveira LJC (2016) Espacialização de modelo de dinâmica de vegetação. In: Anais do Salão Internacional de Ensino, Pesquisa e Extensão 7(2).

Troupin D, Carmel Y (2016) Landscape patterns of development under two alternative scenarios: Implications for conservation. Land Use Policy 54: 221-234.

Shi X, Wang W, Shi W (2016) Progress on quantitative assessment of the impacts of climate change and human activities on cropland change. Journal of Geographical Sciences 26(3): 339-354.

Wang L, Young SS, Wang W, Ren G, Xiao W, Long Y, Li J, Zhu J (2016) Conservation priorities of forest ecosystems with evaluations of connectivity and future threats: Implications in the Eastern Himalaya of China. Biological Conservation 195: 128-135.

Espinoza-Mendoza VE (2016) Dinamica EGO: uma herramienta gratuita para modelar y brindar soporte em el análisis de CCUS. Colegio de Geógrafos Del Peru Boletim 3: 1-20.

Kawashima RS, Giannotti MA, Almeida CM, Quintanilha JÁ (2016) Modelagem dinâmica espacial como ferramenta para simulação de cenários da paisagem na região portuária da baixada santista. Boletim de Ciências Geodésicas 22(4): 703-718.

Pisani RJ, Demarchi JC, Riedel OS (2016) Simulação de cenário prospectivo de mudanças no uso e cobertura da terra na sub-bacia do rio Capivara, Botucatu – SP, por meio de Modelagem Espacial Dinâmica. Revista Cerrados 14(2): 3-29.

Kolb M, Galicia L (2016) Scenarios and story lines: drivers of land use change in Southern Mexico. Environment, Development and Sustainability 1-22.

Hissa LBV, Müller H, Aguiar APD, Hostert P, Lakes T (2016) Historical carbono fluxes in the expanding deforestations frontier of Southern Brazilian Amazonia (1985-2012). Regional Environmental Change 1-13.

Gao Y, Gonzalez I, Gonzalez R, Lopes-Sanchez JG, Skutsch M, Paneque-Gálvez J, Mas JF (2016) Forest code change analysis by object based method using spot and Rapideye images. GEOBIA 2016: Solutions and Synergies.

Guadalupe V, Sotta ED, Santos VF, Aguiar LJG, Martorano L (2016) Understanding ladscape dynamics as support of decision-making processes using Dinamica-EGO software. International Congress on Environmental Modelling and Software, Paper 123.

Vacquie L, Houet T (2016) Developing scenarios to assess future landslide risks: a model-based approach applied to mountainous regions. Geophysical Research Abstracts 18: 7653.

Nowakowski AJ, Watling JI, Whitfield SM, Todd BD, Kurz DJ, Donnelly MA (2016) Tropical amphibians in shifting thermal landscapes under land-use and climate change. Conservation Biology 31(1): 96-105.

Berberoğlu S, Akin A, Clarke KC (2016) Cellular automata modeling approaches to forecast urban growth for adana, Turkey: a comparative approach. Landscape and Urban Planning 153: 11-27.

Silva ST and Oliveira LJC (2016) Aprendendo modelagem de sistemas ambientais utilizando a plataforma Dinamica EGO. In: Anais do Salão Internacional de Ensino, Pesquisa e Extensão 8(1).

Costa EL, Souza INP, Oliveira KKR, Herculano RN, Soares-Filho BS(2016) Modelagem espacial da expansão da mancha urbana de Mateus Leme/MG. Revista Geografias 99-106.

Campos AR (2016) Análise espaço-temporal da expansão dos plantios florestais comerciais no Brasil sob a condição de minimização de impactos negativos e potenciais conflitos. Revista Geografias 8-22.

Carvalho TS, Magalhães AS, Domingues EP (2016) Desmatamento e a contribuição econômica da floresta na Amazônia. CEDEPLAR/UFMG – Texto para Discussão N. 494.

Thompson JR, Simons-Legaardb E, Legaardb K, Domingo JB (2016) A LANDIS-II extension for incorporating land use and other disturbances. Environmental Modelling & Software 75: 202–205.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2015

Santos M, Bastos R, Vicente J, Berger U, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues H, Alonso J, Guerra C, Martins J, Honrado J, Cabral JA (2015) Anticipating Invasions and Managing Impacts: A Review of Recent Spatiotemporal Modelling Approaches. In: Canning-Clode J, Biological Invasions in Changing Ecosystems Vectors, Ecological Impacts, Management and Predictions, 389-410 p.

Chadid MA, Dávalos LM, Molina J, Armenteras D (2015) A Bayesian Spatial Model Highlights Distinct Dynamics in Deforestation from Coca and Pastures in an Andean Biodiversity Hotspot. Forests 6(11): 3828-3846.

Ferreira BM, Soares-Filho BS, Pereira FMQ (2015) The Dinamica Virtual Machine for Geosciences. Lecture Notes in Computer Science 9325: 44-58.

Mas JF, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues H (2015) Calibrating Cellular Automata of Land Use/cover Change Models Using a Genetic Algorithm. In: Annals of International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, La Grande Motte, France.

Stan K, Sanchez-Azofeifa A, Espírito-Santo M, Portillo-Quintero C (2015) Simulating Deforestation in Minas Gerais, Brazil, under Changing Government Policies and Socioeconomic Conditions. PLOS ONE.

Ahmed S, Bramley G (2015) How will Dhaka grow spatially in future?-Modelling its urban growth with a near-future planning scenario perspective. International Journal of Sustainable Built Environment.

Elz I, Tansey K, Page SE, Trivedi M (2015) Modelling Deforestation and Land Cover Transitions of Tropical Peatlands in Sumatra, Indonesia Using Remote Sensed Land Cover Data Sets. Land 4(3): 670-687.

Akin A, Sunar F, Berberoglu S (2015) Urban change analysis and future growth of Istanbul. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment.

Malek Z, Boerboom L (2015) Participatory Scenario Development to Address Potential Impacts of Land Use Change: An Example from the Italian Alps. Mountain Research and Development 35: 126-138.

Malek Z, Boerboom L, Glade T (2015) Future Forest Cover Change Scenarios with Implications for Landslide Risk: An Example from Buzau Subcarpathians, Romania. Environmental Management.

Malek Z, Zumpano V, Schröter D, Glade T, Balteanu D, Micu M (2015) Scenarios of Land Cover Change and Landslide Susceptibility: An Example from the Buzau Subcarpathians, Romania. In: Lollino G et al., Ed. Engineering Geology for Society and Territory: Urban Geology, Sustainable Planning and Landscape Exploitation. Springer International Publishing, p. 743-746.

Galford GL, Soares-Filho BS, Sonter LJ, Laporte N (2015) Will Passive Protection Save Congo Forests? PLoS ONE 10: e0128473.

Sevillano EH, Ibáñez J, Contador JFLC, Pulido-Fernández M, Schnabel S (2015) A spatial dynamic model to assess piospheric land degradation processes of SW Iberian rangelands. In: European Geosciences Union General Assembly, Vienna, Austria.

Hailu BT, Maeda EE, Pellikka P, Pfeifer M (2015) Identifying potential areas of understorey coffee in Ethiopia´s highlands using predictive modelling. International Journal of Remote Sensing 36: 2898-2919.

Kamusoko C, Gamba J (2015) Simulating Urban Growth Using a Random Forest-Cellular Automata (RF-CA) Model. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information 4: 447-470.

Araújo FRN, Almeida JWL, Sena IS, Nóbrega RAA (2015) Modelagem de corredores ótimos para instalação de empreendimentos ferroviários com o software livre Dinamica EGO a partir de produtos gratuitos de sensoriamento remoto. In: Anais do XVII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, João Pessoa: INPE, p. 3549-3556.

Santos Junior MA, Graça PMLA, Rocha VM, Silva RMT, Bobrowiec PED, Tavares VC, Fearnside PM (2015) Cenários de desmatamento e avaliação preditiva de perda de habitat na região de influência da rodovia BR-319. In: Anais do XVII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, João Pessoa: INPE, p. 5694-5701.

Xaud MR, Almeida CM, Xaud HAM (2015) Modelagem dinâmica espacial das mudanças de cobertura da terra na região sul do Estado de Roraima, norte da Amazônia. In: Anais do XVII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, João Pessoa: INPE, p. 6483-6490.

Kawashima RS, Almeida CM, Giannotti MA, Quintanilha JA (2015) Análise das mudanças temporais de cobertura da terra na região portuária da Baixada Santista-SP e a proposição de modelos de dinâmica espacial. In: Anais do XVII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, João Pessoa: INPE, p. 1082-1089.

Marlier EM, DeFries RS, Kim PS, Gaveau DLA, Koplitz SN, Jacob DJ, Mickley LJ, Margono BA, Myers SS (2015) Regional air quality impacts of future fire emissions in Sumatra and Kalimantan. Environmental Research Letters 10: 1-11.

Gibbs HK, Rausch L, Munger J, Schelly I, Morton DC, Noojipady P, Soares-Filho, BS, Barreto P, Micol L, Walker NF (2015). Brazil’s Soy Moratorium. Science 347: 377-378.

Barni PE, Barbosa RI & Manzi AO (2015). Estimativa de emissão de gases de efeito estufa em Roraima (2011 a 2050): o efeito da reconstrução da BR-319 nas fitofisionomias florestais. (No prelo). XVII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, João Pessoa, Brasil 2015. Sociedade Brasileira de Sensoriamento Remoto (SBSR), INPE, São José dos Campos, SP.

Khatibi A, Pourebrahim S, Danehkar A (2015) Application of genetic algorithm for simulation of land use and land cover changes; case of Karaj City, Iran. Journal of Tethys 3(4): 286-296.

Cemin G, Ducati JR (2015)Modelos estocásticos aplicados à avaliação dinâmica da paisagem florestal de remanescentes de mata atlântica no município de Caxias do Sul – RS. Revista Árvore 39(6).

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2014

Hissa LBV, Soares-Filho BS (2014) A Combined Biophysical and Economic GIS Frameworkto Assess Sugarcane Cropping Potential in Brazil. Transactions in GIS 18(3): 449-463.

Graça PMLA, Santos Jr MA, Rocha VM, Fearnside PM, Emilio T, Menger JS, Marciente R, Bobrowiec PED, Venticinque EM, Antunes AP, Bastos AN, Rohe F (2014) Cenários de desmatamento para região de influência da rodovia BR-319: perda potencial de habitats, status de proteção e ameaça para a biodiversidade. . In: Emilio T, Luizão F (eds.) Cenários para a Amazônia: clima, biodiversidade e uso da terra. Editora INPA, Manaus, Amazonas, 194pp.

Campos PBR, Elmiro MAT, Nobrega RAA (2014) The use of environmental modeling for systematization of tacit knowledge: identification of optimal corridor for transmission lines of electricit. Boletim de Ciências Geodésicas 20: 765-783.

Veerbeek W, Pathirana A, Ashley R, Zevenbergen C (2014) Enhancing the calibration of an urban growth model using a memetic algorithm. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 50: 53-65.

Paegelow M, Teresa COM, Jean-François M (2014) Benchmarking of LUCC modelling tools by various validation techniques and error analysis. European Journal of Geography.

Torres AS, Vojinovic Z, Price R (2014) Assessing Rehabilitation Strategies of Urban Drainage Systems Based on Future Scenarios of Urbanization. In: 11th International Conference on Hydroinformatics, New York City, USA.

Burke MJ (2014) Resource Potential and Land Use Tradeoffs of Renewable Electricity Development in Vermont, USA. In: 4th World Sustainability Forum 4, e011.

Akin A, BerberoGlu S, Sunar F (2014) Lojistik Regresyon Yöntemi Ile Istanbul’da Gelecege Yönelik Kentsel Gelisim Analizi. In: Uzaktan Algilama-CBS Sempozyumu (Uzal-CBS 2014), Ekim, Istanbul.

Barni PE, Fearnside PM, Graça PM (2014) Simulating Deforestation and Carbon Loss in Amazonia: Impacts in Brazil’s Roraima State from Reconstructing Highway BR-319 (Manaus-Porto Velho). Environmental Management, 55: 259-278.

Suarez AF, Candeias ALB (2014) Modelagem dinâmica de cobertura da terra na mata atlântica no município de Maragogipe – BA. Revista Brasileira de Cartografia N0 66: 953-981.

Macedo RC, Almeida CM, Santos JR, Rudorff BFT, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO, Sousa Jr. WC. Economic Impact Assessment of Silting-Up and Erosion Processes: How Spatial Dynamic Models Coupled with Environmental Valuation Models Can Contribute to Sustainable Practices in Sugarcane Farming. In: Webb E. (Org.). Sugarcane: Production, Consumption and Agricultural Management Systems. Nova Science Publishers, 2014. p. 61-89.

Arima EY, Barreto P, Araújo E, Soares-Filho BS (2014) Public policies can reduce tropical deforestation: Lessons and challenges from Brazil. Land Use Policy 41: 465-473.

Soares-Filho BS, Rajão R (2014) Modelagem de Cenários de Desmatamento para o Noroeste do Mato Grosso. Policy in Focus 29: 37-39.

Soares-Filho BS, Rajão R (2014) Modelling of Deforestation Scenarios for the Northwest of Mato Grosso. Policy in Focus 29: 37-39.

Lima LS, Coe MT, Soares-Filho BS, Cuadra SV, Dias LCP, Costa MH, Lima LS, Rodrigues HO (2014) Feedbacks between deforestation, climate, and hydrology in the Southwestern Amazon: implications for the provision of ecosystem services. Landscape Ecology 29: 261-274.

Soares-Filho BS, Rajão R, Macedo M, Carneiro A, Costa WLS, Coe M, Rodrigues HO, Alencar A (2014) Cracking Brazil’s Forest Code. Science 344: 363-364.

Sonter LJ, Barrett DJ, Soares-Filho BS, Moran CJ (2014) Global demand for steel drives extensive land-use change in Brazil’s Iron Quadrangle. Global Environmental Change 26: 63-72.

Brando PM, Balch JK, Nepstad D, Morton DC, Putz FE, Coe MT, Silvério D, Macedo MN, Davidson, EA, Nobrega CC, Alencar A, Soares-Filho BS (2014) Abrupt increases in Amazonian tree mortality due to drought-fire interactions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 111: 6347-6352.

Sonter LJ, Barrett DJ, Soares-Filho BS (2014) Offsetting the Impacts of Mining to Achieve No Net Loss of Native Vegetation. Conservation Biology 00: 1-9.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2013

Zhiqiang G; Wei Y (2013) Land use change in China and analysis of its driving forces using CLUE-S and Dinamica EGO model. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering 28: 208-216.

Ferraz YA (2013) Urban expansion and environmental risk in the São Paulo Metropolitan Area. Climate Research 57: 73-80.

Pathiranaa A, Denekew HB, Veerbeek W, Zevenbergen C, Banda AT (2013) Impact of urban growth-driven landuse change on microclimate and extreme precipitation — A sensitivity study. Atmospheric Research 138: 59–72.

Pe’er G, Zurita GA, Schober L, Bellocq MI, Strer M, Müller M, Pütz S (2013) Simple Process-Based Simulators for Generating Spatial Patterns of Habitat Loss and Fragmentation: A Review and Introduction to the G-RaFFe Model. PLoS ONE 8: e64968.

Salonen M, Maeda EE, Toivonen T (2013) Evaluating the Impact of Distance Measures on Deforestation Simulations in the Fluvial Landscapes of Amazonia. AMBIO.

Schlunda M, Poncet F, Hoekman DH, Kuntz S, Schmullius C (2013) Importance of bistatic SAR features from TanDEM-X for forest mapping and monitoring. Remote Sensing of Environment.

Suarez AF, Soares-Filho BS (2013) Estudo da mudança de uso e cobertura do solo na bacia do rio Formiga – MG. Revista Brasileira de Cartografia 65: 417-429.

Vieilledent G, Grinand C, Vaudry R (2013) Forecasting deforestation and carbon emissions in tropical developing countries facing demographic expansion: a case study in Madagascar. Ecology and Evolution 3: 1702–1716.

Walker R, Arima E, Messina J, Soares-Filho BS, Perz S, Vergara D, Sales M, Pereira R, Castro W (2013) Modeling spatial decisions with graph theory: logging roads and forest fragmentation in the Brazilian Amazon. Ecological Applications 23: 239–254.

Mas JF, Kolb M, Paegelow M, Olmedo MTC, Houet T (2013) Inductive pattern-based land use/cover change models: A comparison of four software packages. Environmental Modelling & Software 51: 94-111.

Dias LT, Walde DHG (2013) Modelagem da dinâmica espacial do uso e ocupação do solo na bacia hidrográfica do Lago Paranoá – DF. Revista Brasileira de Cartografia 65/1: 77-94.

Kolb M, Mas JF, Galicia L (2013) Evaluating drivers of land-use change and transition potential models in a complex landscape in Southern Mexico. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 27: 1804-1827.

Benedetti ACP, Lippert DB, Pereira RS, Almeida CM, Cardoso CDV, Hendges ER (2013) Uso do produto MOD13Q1 do sensor Modis para análise temporal e mapeamento das florestas nas Serras do Sudeste e Campanha Meridional do Rio Grande do Sul. Revista Árvore 37: 459-467.

Rossetti LAFG, Pinto SAF, Almeida CM (2013) Cellular Automata-Based Spatial Dynamic Modeling for Analyzing Urban Land Use Change. Urban Remote Sensing Event (JURSE) 1-4.

Macedo RC, Almeida CM, Santos JR, Rudorff BFT (2013) Modelagem dinâmica espacial das alterações de cobertura e uso da terra relacionadas à expansão canavieira.  Boletim de Ciências Geodésicas 19: 313-337.

Vitel CSMN, Carrero GCC, Cenamo MC, Leroy M, Graça PMLA, Fearnside PM (2013) Land-use Change Modeling in a Brazilian Indigenous Reserve: Construction of a Reference Scenario for the Suruí REDD Project. Human Ecology 41: 807-826.

Mas JF, Soares-Filho BS, Pontius Jr RG, Gutiérrez MF, Rodrigues HO (2013) A Suite of Tools for ROC Analysis of Spatial Models. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information 2: 869-887.

Thapa RB, Shimada M, Watanabe M, Motohka T, Shiraishi T (2013) The tropical forest in South East Asia: Monitoring and scenario modeling using Synthetic Aperture Radar data. Applied Geography 41: 168-178.

Oliveira LJC, Costa MH, Soares-Filho BS, Coe MT (2013) Large-scale expansion of agriculture in Amazonia may be a no-win scenario. Environmental Research Letters 8: 1-10.

Kamusoko C, Wada Y, Furuya T, Tomimura S, Nasu M, Homsysavath K (2013) Simulating Future Forest Cover Changes in Pakxeng District, Lao People’s Democratic Republic (PDR): Implications for Sustainable Forest Management. Land 2: 1-19.

Pascoal Jr PS, Damascena LS, Lima CCU (2013) Avaliação multitemporal da dinâmica de uso e ocupação do solo nas imediações do estuário da RESEX Marinha Baía do Iguape: Realidade e Perspectivas para o gerenciamento. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 5428-5434.

Nascimento N, Gerhard P, Watrin OS (2013) Análise comparativa de Cenários Futuros de Uso da Terra no Nordeste Paraense. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 6837-6844.

Massoca PES, Yanai AM, Graça PMLA, Fearnside PM, Mesquita RCG (2013) Dinâmica espaço-temporal da vegetação secundária no município de Apuí (AM). In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 7839-7646.

Novaes MR, Rudorff BFT, Almeida CM (2013) Validação de modelos estacionário e prescritivo do manejo da cana-de-açúcar para o ano-safra 2010 nas regiões de Jaú e Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 474-481.

Batista LFA, Imai NN, Rotta LH, Watanabe FSY (2013) Análise de correlação espacial de variáveis relacionadas à colonização de macrófitas submersas. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 4661-4668.

Silva JFE, Eckhardt RR, Rempel C (2013) Análise temporal e modelagem ambiental da cobertura florestal nativa do município de Roca Sales – RS. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 6703-6710.

Macedo RC (2013) Modelagem Dinâmica Espacial da Expansão da Agricultura em Campos Novos-SC. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 6355-6362.

Rossetti LAFG, Almeida CM, Pinto SAF (2013) Análise de mudanças no uso do solo urbano e rural com a aplicação de modelagem dinâmica espacial. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 6316-6323.

Lima LS, Lima LS, Soares-Filho BS, Coe MT, Ferreira BM, Rodrigues HO (2013) Interfaces gráficas em auxílio à implementação e ao uso de modelos hidrológicos. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 5737-5744.

Leitão RFM, Ferreira BM, Rodrigues HO, Soares-Filho BS (2013) Improving usability on GIS modeling with two new tools in Dinamica EGO. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 6041-6048.

Lima TC, Guillen-Lima CM, Oliveira MS, Soares-Filho BS (2013) DINAMICA EGO e Land Change Modeler para simulação de desmatamento na Amazônia brasileira: análise comparativa.  In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 6379-6386.

Soares-Filho BS (2013) Impacto da revisão do Código Florestal: como viabilizar o grande desafio? Secretaria de Assuntos Estratégicos da Presidência da República.

Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO, Follador M (2013) A hybrid analytical-heuristic method for calibrating land-use change models. Environmental Modelling & Software 43: 80-87.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2012

Fearnside PM, Laurance WF, Cochrane MA, Bergen S, Delamônica P, Barber C, D’Angelo S (2012) O futuro da Amazônia: modelos para prever as consequênciasda infraestrutura futura nos planos plurianuais. Novos Cadernos 15: 25-52.

Maldonado FD, Keizer EWH, Graça PMLA, Fearnside PM, Vitel CS (2012) Previsão temporal da distribuição espacial do desmatamento no interflúvio Purus-Madeiras até o ano 2050. In: Sousa Junior WC, Waichman AV, Sinisgalli PAA, Angelis CF, Romeiro AR (eds.) Rio Purus: Água, território e sociedade na Amazônia Sul-ocidental. LibriMundi, Goiânia, Goiás. 282p.

Piontekowski VJ, Silva SS, Mendonza ERH, Costa WLS, Ribeiro FC (2012) Modelagem do desmatamento para o Estado do Acre utilizando o programa Dinamica EGO. In: Anais do IV Simpósio de Geotecnologias no Pantanal, Bonito: Embrapa Informática Agropecuária/INPE, p. 1064-1075.

Almeida CM, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO (2012) Evolutionary Computing & CA Models: A Genetic Algorithm Tool to Optimize the Bayesian Calibration of an Urban Land Use Change Model. In: Proceedings of the International Symposium on Cellular Automata Modeling for Urban and Spatial Systems – CAMUSS, Coimbra, Portugal: Universidade de Coimbra, v. 1, p. 243-255.

Mas JF, Vega E (2012) Assessing yearly transition probability matrix for landuse / land cover dynamics. In: Proceedings of the 10th International Symposium on Spatial Accuracy Assessment in Natural Resouces and Environmental Sciences, Florianópolis: Universidade federal de Minas Gerais, p. 345-350.

Wei Y, Zhiqiang G, Zihihua L, Maosi C (2012) Land-use and land-cover sceneries in China: an application of Dinamica EGO model. Remote Sensing and Modeling of Ecosystems for Sustainability IX 8513: 0I-7.

Wei Y, Zhiqiang G, Maosi C (2012) Dynamic modelling of future land-use change: a comparison between CLUE-S and Dinamica EGO models. Remote Sensing and Modeling of Ecosystems for Sustainability IX 8513: 0H-7.

Ferreira BM, Pereira FMQ, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO (2012) Optimizing a Geomodeling Domain Specific Language. In: 16th Brazilian Symposium of Programming Languages. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, Natal v. 7554 p. 87-101.

Lima LS, Oliveira LJC, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO (2012) Balanço hídrico climatológico espacializado para o Brasil. In: Anais do XVII Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, Gramado.

Farfán M, Mas JF, Osorio L (2012) Interpolating Socioeconomic Data for the Analysis of Deforestation: A Comparison of Methods. Journal of Geographic Information System 4: 358-365.

Yanai AM, Feanside PM, Graça PMLA, Nogueira EM (2012) Avoided deforestation in Brazilian Amazonia: Simulating the effect of the Juma Sustainable Development Reserve. Forest Ecology and Management 282: 78–91.

Leite CC, Costa MH, Soares-Filho BS, Hissa LBV (2012) Historical land use change and associated carbon emissions in Brazil from 1940 to 1995. Global Biogeochem Cycles 26.

Ferreira ME, Ferreira Jr LG, Miziarab F, Soares-Filho BS (2012) Modeling landscape dynamics in the central Brazilian savanna biome: future scenarios and perspectives for conservation. Journal of Land Use Science 8: 403-421.

Carlson KM, Curran LM, Ratnasari D, Pittman AM, Soares-Filho BS, Asner GP, Trigg SN, Gaveau D A, Lawrence D, Rodrigues HO (2012) Committed carbon emissions, deforestation, and community land conversion from oil palm plantation expansion in West Kalimantan, Indonesia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 109: 7559–7564.

Soares-Filho BS, Lima LS, Bowman M, Hissa LV (2012) Challenges for Low-Carbon Agriculture and Forest Conservation in Brazil. Inter-American Development Bank – Technical Notes 385.

Pérez-Vega A, Mas JF, Ligmann-Zielinska A (2012) Comparing two approaches to land use/cover change modeling and their implications for the assessment of biodiversity loss in a deciduous tropical forest. Environmental Modelling & Software 29: 11-23.

Mas JF, Pérez-Veja A, Clarke KC (2012) Assessing simulated land use/cover maps using similarity and fragmentation indices. Ecological Complexity 11: 38-45.

Soares-Filho BS, Silvestrini R, Nepstad D, Brando P, Rodrigues HO, Alencar A, Coe M, Locks C, Lima L, Hissa LBV, Stickler C. (2012) Forest fragmentation, climate change and understory fire regimes on the Amazonian landscapes of the Xingu headwaters. Landscape Ecology 27: 585-598.

Giudice R, Soares-Filho BS, Merry FD, Rodrigues HO, Bowman M (2012) Timber concessions in Madre de Dios: Are they a good deal? Ecological Economics 77: 158–165.

Bowman MS, Soares-Filho BS, Merry FD, Nepstad DC, Rodrigues HO, Almeida OT (2012) Persistence of cattle ranching in the Brazilian Amazon: A spatial analysis of the rationale for beef production. Land Use Policy 29: 558-568.

Nunes F, Soares-Filho BS, Giudice R, Rodrigues HO, Bowman MS, Silvestrini R, Mendoza E (2012) Economic benefits of forest conservation: assessing the potential rents from Brazil nut concessions in Madre de Dios, Peru, to channel REDD+ investments. Environmental Conservation 39: 132-143.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2011

Maeda EE, Almeida CM, Ximenes AC, Formaggio AR, Shimabukuro YE, Pellikka P (2011) Dynamic modeling of forest conversion: Simulation of past and future scenarios of rural activities expansion in the fringes of the Xingu National Park, Brazilian Amazon. International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation 13: 435–446.

Mas JF, Sandoval (2011) AF Modelación de los cambios de coberturas/uso del suelo en una región tropical de México. GeoTrópico 5: 1-24.

Torres AS, Vojinovic Z (2011) Determining the route for a water main in a new urbanising area. Department of Hydroinformatics and Knowledge Management, Unesco-IHE Delft, The Netherlands.

Huong HTL, Pathirana A (2011) Urbanization and climate change impacts on future urban flood risk in Can Tho city, Vietnam. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 8: 10781-10824.

Nunes FS, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO (2011) Valorando a floresta em pé: A rentabilidade da Castanha do Brasil no Acre. In: IX Encontro Nacional de EcoEco, Brasília.

Hajek F, Ventresca MJ, Scriven J, Castro C (2011) Regime-building for REDD+: Evidence from a cluster of local initiatives in south-eastern Peru. Environmental Science & Policy 14: 201-215.

Ramirez-Gomes SO (2011) Spatial drivers of deforestation in Suriname. Center for Agriculture Reserarch in Suriname, Tropenbos, Suriname.

Thapa RB, Murayama Y (2011) Urban growth modeling of Kathmandu metropolitan region, Nepal. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 35: 25-34.

Veerbeek W, Denekew HB, Pathirana A, Vbrdjanovic D, Zevenbergen C, Bacchin T (2011) Urban Growth Modeling to Predict the Changes in the Urban Microclimate and Urban Water Cycle. In: 12nd International Conference on Urban Drainage, Porto Alegre.

Sanchez A, Vojinovic Z, Price R, Waly M (2011) Towards an Approach to the Evolution of Urban Drainage Networks Using Agent-Based Models. In: 12nd International Conference on Urban Drainage, Porto Alegre.

Silvestrini RA, Soares-Filho BS, Nepstad D, Coe M, Rodrigues HO, Assunção R (2011) Simulating fire regimes in the Amazon in response to climate change and deforestation. Ecological Applications 21: 1573–1590.

Kamusoko C, Oono K, Nakazawa K, Wada Y, Nakada R, Hosokawa T, Tomimura S, Furuya T, Iwata A, Moriike H, Someya T, Yamase T, Nasu M, Gomi Y, Sano T, Isobe T, Homsysavath K (2011) Spatial Simulation Modelling of Future Forest Cover Change Scenarios in Luangprabang Province, Lao. Forests 2: 707-729.

Kirkby C, Giudice R, Brett D, Kerry T, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO, Douglas WY (2011) Closing the ecotourism-conservation loop in the Peruvian Amazon. Environmental Conservation.

Delaneze ME, Riedel PS, Marques ML, Ferreira MV, Bentz CM (2011) Modelagem espacial utilizando autômato celular aplicada à avaliação das mudanças do uso e cobertura da terra no entorno da faixa de dutos Rio de Janeiro – Belo Horizonte. In: Anais do XV Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Curitiba: INPE, p. 5909-5916.

Mas JF, Kolb M, Houet T, Paegelow M, Olmedo MTC (2011) Una comparación de programas de modelación de cambios de cobertura / uso del suelo. In: Anais do XV Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Curitiba: INPE, p. 5801-5808.

Arcoverde GFB, Almeida CM, Araújo LS (2011) Modelagem da paisagem no Parque Estadual Carlos Botelho (SP) e Entorno. In: Anais do XV Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Curitiba: INPE, p. 5777-5784.

Rosseti LAFG, Almeida CM, Pinto SAF (2011) Modelagem dinâmica espacial de mudanças no uso da terra da cidade de Rio Claro, SP. In: Anais do XV Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Curitiba: INPE, p. 6703-6710.

Yanay AM, Fearnside PM, Graça PMLA (2011) Desmatamento no sul do Amazonas: Simulação do efeito da criação da Reserva de Desenvolvimento Sustentável do Juma. In: Anais do XV Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Curitiba: INPE, p. 6193-6200.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2010

Maeda EE, Clark BJF, Pellikka P, Siljander M (2010) Modelling agricultural expansion in Kenya’s Eastern Arc Mountains biodiversity hotspot. Agricultural Systems 103: 609-620.

Maeda EE, Clark BJF, Pellikka P, Siljander M (2010) Potential impacts of agricultural expansion and climate change on soil erosion in the Eastern Arc Mountains of Kenya. Geomorphology 123: 279-289.

Trentin G, Freitas MIC (2010) Modelagem da dinâmica espacial urbana: modelo de autômato celular na simulação de cenários para o município de Americana-SP. Revista Brasileira de Cartografia 62: 291-305.

Gouvello C, Soares-Filho BS, Nassar A, Schaeffer R, Jorge F, Nogueira W (2010) Brazil Low-carbon Country Case Study. WorldBank Report.

Soares-Filho BS, Moutinho P, Nepstad D, Anderson A, Rodrigues H, Garcia R, Dietschi L, Merry F, Bowman M, Hissa L, Silvestrini R, Maretti C (2010) Role of Brazilian Amazon protected areas in climate change mitigation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107: 10821–10826.

Soares-Filho BS, Dietzch L, Moutinho P, Suarez AF, Rodrigues H (2010) Protected Areas Helping to Reduce Carbon Emissions in Brazil. In: Arguments for Protected Areas – Multiple Benefits for Conservation and Use, 1 ed. London, Washington DC: EarthScan, v. 1, p. 1-268.

Mas JF, Vega PA, Clarke K (2010) Assessing simulated land use land use/cp /excover maps using similarity and fragmentation indices. ASPRS Annual Conference Proceedings, San Diego, California.

Walker WS, Stickler CM, Dellndorfer JM, Kirsch KM, Nepstad DC (2010) Large-Area Classification and Mapping of Forest and Land Cover in the Brazilian Amazon: A Comparative Analysis of ALOS/PALSAR and Landsat Data Sources. Woods Hole Research Center 3: 594-604.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2009

Maldonado FD, Keizer EWH, Graça PMLA, Fearnside PM, Vitel CS (2009) Previsión temporal de la distribución espacial de la deforestación del interfluvio Purus-Madeira, region central de Amazonas, hasta el año 2050.In: H. Bernal Zarmudio, C.H. Sierra Hernando & M. Angulio Tarancón (eds.) Amazonía y Agua y Desarrollo Sostenible en el Siglo XXI. UNESCO Etxea, Paris, France. p. 503.

Vitel CSMN, Fearnside PM, Graça PMLA (2009) Análise da inibição do desmatamento pelas áreas protegidas na parte Sudoeste do Arco de desmatamento. In: Anais do XIV Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Natal. 6377-6384.

Vitel CSMN, Fearnside PM, Graça PMLA (2009) Análise da inibição do desmatamento pelas áreas protegidas na parte Sudoeste do Arco de desmatamento. In: Anais da Conferência do Subprograma de Ciência e Tecnologia SPC&T Fase II/PPG7, Belém, Pará, dezembro de 2008. 60-63.

Fearnside PM, Graça PMLA, Keizer EWH, Maldonado FD, Barbosa RI, Nogueira EM (2009) Modelagem de desmatamento e emissões de gases de efeito estufa na região sob influência da rodovia Manaus-Porto Velho (BR-319). Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia 24(2):208-233.

Barni PE, Fearnside PM, Graça PMLA (2009) Deforestation and carbon emissions in Amazonia: Simulating the impact of connecting Brazil’s state of Roraima to the “arc of deforestation” by reconstructing the BR-319 (Manaus-Porto Velho) highway. In: XII World Forestry Congress, 18-23 Octubre 2009, Buenos Aires-Argentina. 1-16.

Nepstad D, Soares-Filho BS, Merry F, Lima A, Moutinho P, Carter J, Bowman M, Cattaneo A, Rodrigues H, Schwartzman S, Mcgrath D, Stickler C, Lubowski PP, Rivero S, Alencar A, Almeida O, Stella O (2009) The End of Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon. Science 326:1350-1351.

Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues H, Costa WLS (2009) Modeling Environmental Dynamics with Dinamica EGO. Available at www.csr.ufmg.br/dinamica.

Stickler C, Nepstad D, Coe M, Macgrrath D, Rodrigues H, Dabidson E, Soares-Filho B (2009) The potential ecological costs and co-benefits of REDD: a critical review and case study from the Amazon region. Global Change Biology 15:2803-2824.

Merry F, Soares-Filho BS, Nepstad D, Aamacher G, Rodrigues H (2009) Balancing Conservation and Economic Sustainability: The Future of the Amazon Timber Industry. Environmental Management, 44:395-407.

Coe M, Costa M, Soares-Filho BS (2009) The Influence of Historical and Potential Future Deforestation on the Stream Flow of the Amazon River – Land Surface Processes and Atmospheric Feedbacks. Journal of Hidrology 369:165–174.

Teixeira AM, Soares-Filho BS, Freitas S, Metzger JPW (2009) Modeling Landscape dynamics in the Atlantic Rainforest domain: Implications for conservation. Forest Ecology and Management 257:1219–1230.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2008

 Soares-Filho BS, Garcia RA, Rodrigues H, Moro S, Nepstad D (2008) Nexos entre as dimensões socioeconômicas e o desmatamento: A caminho de um modelo integrado. In: Batistella M, Alves D, Moran E (Org.). Amazônia: Natureza e Sociedade em Transformação. São Paulo: EDUSP, v. 1.

Soares-Filho BS, Dietzsch L, Moutinho P, Suarez AF, Rodrigues H, Pinto E, Maretti C, Suassuna K, Scaramuzza CA, Vasconcelos F (2008) Reduction of carbon emissions associated with deforestation in Brazil: The role of the Amazon region Protected Areas Program (ARPA). Brasília: IPAM, v. 1, 32 p.

Stickler CM, Nepstad DC, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO, Merry F, Bowman MS, Walker WS, Kellndofer JM, Almeida OT (2008) The opportunity costs of reducing carbon emissions in an Amazonian agroindustrial region: the Xingu River headwaters. A paper prepared for and presented at the 2008 Berlin Conference on the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change, Berlin, Germany.

Cuevas SG, Mas J-F (2008) Land use scenarios: a communication tool with local Communities. In: Paegelow M. & Camacho Olmedo MT, Ed. Modelling Environmental Dynamics. Springer, p. 223-246.

Almeida C. Gleriani JM, Castejon EF, Soares-Filho BS (2008) Using neural networks and cellular automata for modeling intra-urban land-use dynamics. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 22:943-963.

 Godoy MMG & Soares-Filho BS (2008) Modelling intra-urban dynamics in the Savassi neighbourhood, Belo Horizonte city, Brazil. In: Paegelow M. & Camacho Olmedo MT, Ed. Modelling Environmental Dynamics. Springer, p. 319-338.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2007

 Nepstad D, Soares-Filho BS, Merry F, Moutinho P, Rodrigues H, Bowman M, Schwartzman S, Almeida O, Rivero S (2007) The Costs and Benefits of Reducing Carbon Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation in the Brazilian Amazon. A report for Bali COP-13.

Mas JF, Paegelow M, Jong B, Masera O, Guerrero G, Follador M, Olguin M, Díaz JR, Castillo MA, García T (2007) Modelling Tropical Deforestation: A Comparison of Approaches. In: Proceedings of the 32nd International Symposium on Remote Sensing of Environment, San José, Costa Rica.

 Silvestrini RA, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO, Nepstad D (2007) Simulating the occurrence of hot pixels along the Amazon forest fringe. In: LBA-ECO 11th Science Team Meeting, Salvador, Brazil.

 Soares-Filho BS, Garcia, R. A.; Rodrigues, H. O.; Moro, S; Nepstad, D. Coupling socioeconomic and demographic dimensions to a spatial simulation model of deforestation for the Brazilian Amazon. In: LBA-ECO 11th Science Team Meeting, Salvador, Brazil.

Rodrigues HO, Soares-Filho BS, Nepstad D, Costa WLS (2007) SimAmazonia-2, a basin-wide simulation model of Amazon landscape dynamics. In: LBA-ECO 11th Science Team Meeting, Salvador, Brazil.

Sampaio G, Nobre CA, Costa MH, Satyamurty OS, Soares-Filho BS, Cardoso MF (2007) Regional Climate Change Over Eastern Amazonia Caused by Pasture and Soybean Cropland Expansion. Geophysical Research Letters 34:1-7.

Rodrigues HO, Soares-Filho BS, Costa WLS (2007) Dinamica EGO, uma plataforma para modelagem de sistemas ambientais. In: Anais do XIII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Florianópolis: INPE, p. 3089-3096.

Castro FVF, Soares-Filho BS, Mendonza E (2007) Modelagem de cenários de mudanças na região de Brasiléia aplicada ao Zoneamento Ecológico Econômico do estado do Acre. In: In: Anais do XIII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Florianópolis: INPE, p. 5135-5142.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2006

 Soares-Filho BS, Nepstad D, Curran L, Voll E, Cerqueira G, Garcia RA, Ramos CA, Mcdonald A, Lefebvre P, Schlesdinger P (2006) Modeling conservation in the Amazon basin. Nature 440:520-523.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2005

 Almeida C, Monteiro M, Camara G, Soares-Filho BS, Cerqueira G, Pennachin CL (2005) GIS and Remote Sensing as Tools for the Simulation of Urban Land Use Change. International Journal of Remote Sensing 26:759-774.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2004

Soares-Filho BS, Cerqueira GC, Araujo WL, Voll E (2004) Modelagem de dinâmica de paisagem: concepção e potencial de aplicação de modelos de simulação baseados em autômato celular. In: Albernaz AL, Silva JMC, Valeriano D (editores). Ferramentas para modelagem da distribuição de espécies em ambientes tropicais. Editora Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi.

 Soares-Filho BS, Alencar A, Nepstad D, Cerqueira G, Vera Diaz M, Rivero S, Solorzano L, Voll E (2004) Simulating the response of land-cover changes to road paving and governance along a major Amazon highway: the Santarém-Cuiabá corridor. Global Change Biology 10:745–764.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2003

 Soares-Filho BS, Nepstad D, Cerqueira G, Alencar A (2003) System architecture of a spatially explicit model to simulate deforestation in the Amazon basin. In: Seventh LBA-ECO Science Team Business Meeting, Fortaleza, Brazil.

Almeida CM, Monteiro AMV, Câmara G, Soares-Filho BS, Cerqueira GC, Araujo WL, Pantuzzo AE (2003) Simulating urban land use change through CA-Based modeling and logistic regression. In: Anais do XI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Belo Horizonte: INPE, p. 1687 – 1694.

Soares-Filho BS, Corradi-Filho L, Cerqueira GC, Araujo WL (2003) Simulating the spatial patterns of change through the use of the dinamica model. In: Anais do XI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Belo Horizonte: INPE, p. 721-728.

 Almeida C, Batty M, Monteiro M, Camara G, Soares-Filho BS, Cerqueira G, Pennachin CL (2003) Stochastic cellular automata modeling of urban land use dynamics: empirical development and estimation. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 27:481-509.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2002

Soares-Filho BS, Pennachin CL, Cerqueira G (2002) DINAMICA – a stochastic cellular automata model designed to simulate the landscape dynamics in an Amazonian colonization frontier. Ecological Modelling 154:217-235.

FAS (Fundação Amazonas Sustentável) (2002) The Juma Sustainable Development Reserve Project: Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Deforestation in the State of Amazonas, Brazil, Project Design Document, for the Climate, Community & Biodiversity Alliance (CCBA).

Soares-Filho BS, Cerqueira G, Araújo W (2002) DINAMICA’s collection of spatial patterns of change.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

2001

Soares-Filho BS, Assunção RM, Pantuzo A (2001) Modeling the spatial transition probabilities of landscape changes in an Amazonian Colonization frontier. Bioscience 51:1039-1046.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.

1998

Soares-Filho BS (1998) Análise de Paisagem: Fragmentação e Mudanças. Belo Horizonte.

Soares-Filho BS (1998) Modelagem da dinâmica de paisagem de uma região de fronteira de colonização amazônica. Thesis (Doctorate) – Escola Politécnica da Universidade de São Paulo.

Publications by Dinamica Team and collaborators are highlighted in bold.