Jaramillo-Giraldo C, Soares-Filho BS, Ribeiro SMC, Gonçalves RC (2017) Is It Possible to Make Rubber Extraction Ecologically and Economically Viable in the Amazon? The Southern Acre and Chico Mendes Reserve Case Study. Ecological Economics 134: 186-197

Strassburg BBN, Brooks T, Feltran-Barbieri R, Iribarem A, Crouzeilles R, Loyla R, Latawiec A, Oliveira F, Scaramuzza CAM, Scarano FR, Soares-Filho B, Balmford A (2017) Moment of truth for the Cerrado Hotspot. Nature Ecology & Evolution 1,0099. Doi: 10.1038/s41559-017-0099


Fernandes GW, Goulart FF, Ranieri BD, Coelho MS, Dales K, Boesche N, Bustamante M, Carvalho FA, Carvalho DC, Dirzo R,Fernandes S, Galetti Jr PM, Millan VEG, Mielke C, Ramirez JL, Neves A, Rogass C, Ribeiro SP, Scariot A, Soares-Filho BS (2016) Deep into the mud: ecological and socio-economic impacts of the dam breach in Mariana, Brazil. Natureza & Conservação xxx: 11

Goulart FF, Perfecto I, Vandermeer J, Boucher D, Chappell M, Fernandes GW, Scariot A, Corrêa da Silva M, Oliveira W, Neville R, Moore J, Bustamante M, Carvalho SR, Soares-Filho BS (2016) Emissions from cattle farming in Brazil. Nature Climate Change 8: 893-894

Nunes F, Rajão R, Soares-Filho BS (2016) Boundary work in climate policy making in Brazil: Reflections from the frontlines of the science-policy interface. Environmental Science & Policy 59: 85-92

Soares-Filho BS, Rajão R, Merry F, Rodrigues H, Davis J, Lima L, Macedo M, Coe M, Carneiro A, Santiago L (2016) Brazil’s Market for trading forest certificates. Plos One 11(4): e0152311. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0152311

Goulart FF, Carvalho-Ribeiro S, Soares-Filho BS (2016) Farming-Biodiversity Segregation or Integration? Revisiting Land Sparing versus Land Sharing Debate. Journal of Environmental Protection 7: 1016-1032. doi:10.4236/jep.2016.77090


Santos M, Bastos R, Vicente J, Berger U, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues H, Alonso J, Guerra C, Martins J, Honrado J, Cabral JA (2015) Anticipating Invasions and Managing Impacts: A Review of Recent Spatiotemporal Modelling Approaches. In: Canning-Clode J, Biological Invasions in Changing Ecosystems Vectors, Ecological Impacts, Management and Predictions, 389-410 p.

Ferreira BM, Soares-Filho BS, Pereira FMQ (2015) The Dinamica Virtual Machine for Geosciences. Lecture Notes in Computer Science 9325:44-58.

Mas JF, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues H (2015) Calibrating Cellular Automata of Land Use/cover Change Models Using a Genetic Algorithm. In: Annals of International Archives of the Photogrammetry, Remote Sensing and Spatial Information Sciences, La Grande Motte, France.

Gibbs HK, Rausch L, Munger J, Schelly I, Morton DC, Noojipady P, Soares-Filho, BS, Barreto P, Micol L, Walker NF (2015). Brazil’s Soy Moratorium. Science 347:377-378.


Macedo RC, Almeida CM, Santos JR, Rudorff BFT, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO, Sousa Jr. WC. Economic Impact Assessment of Silting-Up and Erosion Processes: How Spatial Dynamic Models Coupled with Environmental Valuation Models Can Contribute to Sustainable Practices in Sugarcane Farming. In: Webb E. (Org.). Sugarcane: Production, Consumption and Agricultural Management Systems. Nova Science Publishers, 2014. Pp. 61-89.

Arima EY, Barreto P, Araújo E, Soares-Filho BS (2014) Public policies can reduce tropical deforestation: Lessons and challenges from Brazil. Land Use Policy 41:465-473.

Soares-Filho BS, Rajão R (2014) Modelagem de Cenários de Desmatamento para o Noroeste do Mato Grosso.Policy in Focus 29:37-39.

Soares-Filho BS, Rajão R (2014) Modelling of Deforestation Scenarios for the Northwest of Mato Grosso.Policy in Focus 29:37-39.

Lima LS, Coe MT, Soares-Filho BS, Cuadra SV, Dias LCP, Costa MH, Lima LS, Rodrigues HO (2014) Feedbacks between deforestation, climate, and hydrology in the Southwestern Amazon: implications for the provision of ecosystem services. Landscape Ecology 29:261-274.

Soares-Filho BS, Rajão R, Macedo M, Carneiro A, Costa WLS, Coe M, Rodrigues HO, Alencar A (2014) Cracking Brazil’s Forest Code. Science 344:363-364.

Sonter LJ, Barrett DJ, Soares-Filho BS, Moran CJ (2014) Global demand for steel drives extensive land-use change in Brazil’s Iron Quadrangle. Global Environmental Change 26:63-72.

Brando PM, Balch JK, Nepstad D, Morton DC, Putz FE, Coe MT, Silvério D, Macedo MN, Davidson, EA, Nobrega CC, Alencar A, Soares-Filho BS (2014) Abrupt increases in Amazonian tree mortality due to drought-fire interactions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 111:6347-6352.

Sonter LJ, Barrett DJ, Soares-Filho BS (2014) Offsetting the Impacts of Mining to Achieve No Net Loss of Native Vegetation. Conservation Biology 00:1-9.


Suarez AF, Soares-Filho BS (2013) Estudo da mudança de uso e cobertura do solo na bacia do rio Formiga – MG. Revista Brasileira de Cartografia 65:417-429.

Walker R, Arima E, Messina J, Soares-Filho BS, Perz S, Vergara D, Sales M, Pereira R, Castro W (2013) Modeling spatial decisions with graph theory: logging roads and forest fragmentation in the Brazilian Amazon. Ecological Applications 23:239–254.

Mas JF, Soares-Filho BS, Pontius Jr RG, Gutiérrez MF, Rodrigues HO (2013) A Suite of Tools for ROC Analysis of Spatial Models. ISPRS International Journal of Geo-Information 2:869-887.

Oliveira LJC, Costa MH, Soares-Filho BS, Coe MT (2013) Large-scale expansion of agriculture in Amazonia may be a no-win scenario. Environmental Research Letters 8:1-10.

Lima LS, Lima LS, Soares-Filho BS, Coe MT, Ferreira BM, Rodrigues HO (2013) Interfaces gráficas em auxílio à implementação e ao uso de modelos hidrológicos. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 5737-5744.

Leitão RFM, Ferreira BM, Rodrigues HO, Soares-Filho BS (2013) Improving usability on GIS modeling with two new tools in Dinamica EGO. In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 6041-6048.

Lima TC, Guillen-Lima CM, Oliveira MS, Soares-Filho BS (2013) DINAMICA EGO e Land Change Modeler para simulação de desmatamento na Amazônia brasileira: análise comparativa.  In: Anais do XVI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Foz do Iguaçu: INPE, p. 6379-6386.

Soares-Filho BS (2013) Impacto da revisão do Código Florestal: como viabilizar o grande desafio? Secretaria de Assuntos Estratégicos da Presidência da República.

Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO, Follador M (2013) A hybrid analytical-heuristic method for calibrating land-use change models. Environmental Modelling & Software 43:80-87.


Piontekowski VJ, Silva SS, Mendonza ERH, Costa WLS, Ribeiro FC (2012) Modelagem do desmatamento para o Estado do Acre utilizando o programa Dinamica EGO. In: Anais do IV Simpósio de Geotecnologias no Pantanal, Bonito: Embrapa Informática Agropecuária/INPE, p. 1064-1075.

Almeida CM, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO (2012) Evolutionary Computing & CA Models: A Genetic Algorithm Tool to Optimize the Bayesian Calibration of an Urban Land Use Change Model. In: Proceedings of the International Symposium on Cellular Automata Modeling for Urban and Spatial Systems – CAMUSS, Coimbra, Portugal: Universidade de Coimbra, v. 1, p. 243-255.

Ferreira BM, Pereira FMQ, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO (2012) Optimizing a Geomodeling Domain Specific Language. In: 16th Brazilian Symposium of Programming Languages. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, Natal v. 7554 p. 87-101.

Lima LS, Oliveira LJC, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO (2012) Balanço hídrico climatológico espacializado para o Brasil. In: Anais do XVII Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, Gramado.

Leite CC, Costa MH, Soares-Filho BS, Hissa LBV (2012) Historical land use change and associated carbon emissions in Brazil from 1940 to 1995. Global Biogeochem Cycles 26.

Ferreira ME, Ferreira Jr LG, Miziarab F, Soares-Filho BS (2012) Modeling landscape dynamics in the central Brazilian savanna biome: future scenarios and perspectives for conservation. Journal of Land Use Science 8:403-421.

Carlson KM, Curran LM, Ratnasari D, Pittman AM, Soares-Filho BS, Asner GP, Trigg SN, Gaveau D A, Lawrence D, Rodrigues HO (2012) Committed carbon emissions, deforestation, and community land conversion from oil palm plantation expansion in West Kalimantan, Indonesia. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 109:7559–7564.

Soares-Filho BS, Lima LS, Bowman M, Hissa LV (2012) Challenges for Low-Carbon Agriculture and Forest Conservation in Brazil. Inter-American Development Bank – Technical Notes 385.

Soares-Filho BS, Silvestrini R, Nepstad D, Brando P, Rodrigues HO, Alencar A, Coe M, Locks C, Lima L, Hissa LBV, Stickler C. (2012) Forest fragmentation, climate change and understory fire regimes on the Amazonian landscapes of the Xingu headwaters. Landscape Ecology 27:585-598.

Giudice R, Soares-Filho BS, Merry FD, Rodrigues HO, Bowman M (2012) Timber concessions in Madre de Dios: Are they a good deal? Ecological Economics 77:158–165.

Bowman MS, Soares-Filho BS, Merry FD, Nepstad DC, Rodrigues HO, Almeida OT (2012) Persistence of cattle ranching in the Brazilian Amazon: A spatial analysis of the rationale for beef production. Land Use Policy 29:558-568.

Nunes F, Soares-Filho BS, Giudice R, Rodrigues HO, Bowman MS, Silvestrini R, Mendoza E (2012) Economic benefits of forest conservation: assessing the potential rents from Brazil nut concessions in Madre de Dios, Peru, to channel REDD+ investments. Environmental Conservation 39: 132-143.


Nunes FS, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO (2011) Valorando a floresta em pé: A rentabilidade da Castanha do Brasil no Acre. In: IX Encontro Nacional de EcoEco, Brasília.

Silvestrini RA, Soares-Filho BS, Nepstad D, Coe M, Rodrigues HO, Assunção R (2011) Simulating fire regimes in the Amazon in response to climate change and deforestation. Ecological Applications 21:1573–1590.

Kirkby C, Giudice R, Brett D, Kerry T, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO, Douglas WY (2011) Closing the ecotourism-conservation loop in the Peruvian Amazon. Environmental Conservation.


Gouvello C, Soares-Filho BS, Nassar A, Schaeffer R, Jorge F, Nogueira W (2010) Brazil Low-carbon Country Case Study. WorldBank Report.

Soares-Filho BS, Moutinho P, Nepstad D, Anderson A, Rodrigues H, Garcia R, Dietschi L, Merry F, Bowman M, Hissa L, Silvestrini R, Maretti C (2010) Role of Brazilian Amazon protected areas in climate change mitigation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 107:10821–10826.

Soares-Filho BS, Dietzch L, Moutinho P, Suarez AF, Rodrigues H (2010) Protected Areas Helping to Reduce Carbon Emissions in Brazil. In: Arguments for Protected Areas – Multiple Benefits for Conservation and Use, 1 ed. London, Washington DC: EarthScan, v. 1, p. 1-268.


Nepstad D, Soares-Filho BS, Merry F, Lima A, Moutinho P, Carter J, Bowman M, Cattaneo A, Rodrigues H, Schwartzman S, Mcgrath D, Stickler C, Lubowski PP, Rivero S, Alencar A, Almeida O, Stella O (2009) The End of Deforestation in the Brazilian Amazon. Science 326:1350-1351.

Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues H, Costa WLS (2009) Modeling Environmental Dynamics with Dinamica EGO. Available at www.csr.ufmg.br/dinamica.

Stickler C, Nepstad D, Coe M, Macgrrath D, Rodrigues H, Dabidson E, Soares-Filho B (2009) The potential ecological costs and co-benefits of REDD: a critical review and case study from the Amazon region. Global Change Biology 15:2803-2824.

Merry F, Soares-Filho BS, Nepstad D, Aamacher G, Rodrigues H (2009) Balancing Conservation and Economic Sustainability: The Future of the Amazon Timber Industry. Environmental Management, 44:395-407.

Coe M, Costa M, Soares-Filho BS (2009) The Influence of Historical and Potential Future Deforestation on the Stream Flow of the Amazon River – Land Surface Processes and Atmospheric Feedbacks. Journal of Hidrology 369:165–174.

Teixeira AM, Soares-Filho BS, Freitas S, Metzger JPW (2009) Modeling Landscape dynamics in the Atlantic Rainforest domain: Implications for conservation. Forest Ecology and Management 257:1219–1230.


Soares-Filho BS, Garcia RA, Rodrigues H, Moro S, Nepstad D (2008) Nexos entre as dimensões socioeconômicas e o desmatamento: A caminho de um modelo integrado. In: Batistella M, Alves D, Moran E (Org.). Amazônia: Natureza e Sociedade em Transformação. São Paulo:EDUSP, v. 1.

Soares-Filho BS, Dietzsch L, Moutinho P, Suarez AF, Rodrigues H, Pinto E, Maretti C, Suassuna K, Scaramuzza CA, Vasconcelos F (2008) Reduction of carbon emissions associated with deforestation in Brazil: The role of the Amazon region Protected Areas Program (ARPA). Brasília: IPAM, v. 1, 32 p.

Stickler CM, Nepstad DC, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO, Merry F, Bowman MS, Walker WS, Kellndofer JM, Almeida OT (2008) The opportunity costs of reducing carbon emissions in an Amazonian agroindustrial region: the Xingu River headwaters. A paper prepared for and presented at the 2008 Berlin Conference on the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change, Berlin, Germany.

Almeida C. Gleriani JM, Castejon EF, Soares-Filho BS (2008) Using neural networks and cellular automata for modeling intra-urban land-use dynamics. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 22:943-963.

Godoy MMG & Soares-Filho BS (2008) Modelling intra-urban dynamics in the Savassi neighbourhood, Belo Horizonte city, Brazil. In: Paegelow M. & Camacho Olmedo MT, Ed. Modelling Environmental Dynamics. Springer, p. 319-338.


Nepstad D, Soares-Filho BS, Merry F, Moutinho P, Rodrigues H, Bowman M, Schwartzman S, Almeida O, Rivero S (2007) The Costs and Benefits of Reducing Carbon Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation in the Brazilian Amazon. A report for Bali COP-13.

Silvestrini RA, Soares-Filho BS, Rodrigues HO, Nepstad D (2007) Simulating the occurrence of hot pixels along the Amazon forest fringe. In: LBA-ECO 11th Science Team Meeting, Salvador, Brazil.

Soares-Filho BS, Garcia, R. A.; Rodrigues, H. O.; Moro, S; Nepstad, D. Coupling socioeconomic and demographic dimensions to a spatial simulation model of deforestation for the Brazilian Amazon. In: LBA-ECO 11th Science Team Meeting, Salvador, Brazil.

Rodrigues HO, Soares-Filho BS, Nepstad D, Costa WLS (2007) SimAmazonia-2, a basin-wide simulation model of Amazon landscape dynamics. In: LBA-ECO 11th Science Team Meeting, Salvador, Brazil.

Sampaio G, Nobre CA, Costa MH, Satyamurty OS, Soares-Filho BS, Cardoso MF (2007) Regional Climate Change Over Eastern Amazonia Caused by Pasture and Soybean Cropland Expansion. Geophysical Research Letters 34:1-7.

Rodrigues HO, Soares-Filho BS, Costa WLS (2007) Dinamica EGO, uma plataforma para modelagem de sistemas ambientais. In: Anais do XIII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Florianópolis: INPE, p. 3089-3096.

Castro FVF, Soares-Filho BS, Mendonza E (2007) Modelagem de cenários de mudanças na região de Brasiléia aplicada ao Zoneamento Ecológico Econômico do estado do Acre. In: In: Anais do XIII Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Florianópolis: INPE, p. 5135-5142.


Soares-Filho BS, Nepstad D, Curran L, Voll E, Cerqueira G, Garcia RA, Ramos CA, Mcdonald A, Lefebvre P, Schlesdinger P (2006) Modeling conservation in the Amazon basin. Nature 440:520-523.


Almeida C, Monteiro M, Camara G, Soares-Filho BS, Cerqueira G, Pennachin CL (2005) GIS and Remote Sensing as Tools for the Simulation of Urban Land Use Change. International Journal of Remote Sensing 26:759-774.


Soares-Filho BS, Cerqueira GC, Araujo WL, Voll E (2004) Modelagem de dinâmica de paisagem: concepção e potencial de aplicação de modelos de simulação baseados em autômato celular. In: Albernaz AL, Silva JMC, Valeriano D (editores). Ferramentas para modelagem da distribuição de espécies em ambientes tropicais. Editora Museu Paraense Emílio Goeldi.

Soares-Filho BS, Alencar A, Nepstad D, Cerqueira G, Vera Diaz M, Rivero S, Solorzano L, Voll E (2004) Simulating the response of land-cover changes to road paving and governance along a major Amazon highway: the Santarém-Cuiabá corridor. Global Change Biology 10:745–764.


Soares-Filho BS, Nepstad D, Cerqueira G, Alencar A (2003) System architecture of a spatially explicit model to simulate deforestation in the Amazon basin. In: Seventh LBA-ECO Science Team Business Meeting, Fortaleza, Brazil.

Almeida CM, Monteiro AMV, Câmara G, Soares-Filho BS, Cerqueira GC, Araujo WL, Pantuzzo AE (2003) Simulating urban land use change through CA-Based modeling and logistic regression. In: Anais do XI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Belo Horizonte: INPE, p. 1687 – 1694.

Soares-Filho BS, Corradi-Filho L, Cerqueira GC, Araujo WL (2003) Simulating the spatial patterns of change through the use of the dinamica model. In: Anais do XI Simpósio Brasileiro de Sensoriamento Remoto, Belo Horizonte: INPE, p. 721-728.

Almeida C, Batty M, Monteiro M, Camara G, Soares-Filho BS, Cerqueira G, Pennachin CL (2003) Stochastic cellular automata modeling of urban land use dynamics: empirical development and estimation. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems 27:481-509.


Soares-Filho BS, Pennachin CL, Cerqueira G (2002) DINAMICA – a stochastic cellular automata model designed to simulate the landscape dynamics in an Amazonian colonization frontier. Ecological Modelling 154:217-235.

Soares-Filho BS, Cerqueira G, Araújo W (2002) DINAMICA’s collection of spatial patterns of change.


Soares-Filho BS, Assunção RM, Pantuzo A (2001) Modeling the spatial transition probabilities of landscape changes in an Amazonian Colonization frontier. Bioscience 51:1039-1046.


Soares-Filho BS (1998) Análise de Paisagem: Fragmentação e Mudanças. Belo Horizonte.

Soares-Filho BS (1998) Modelagem da dinâmica de paisagem de uma região de fronteira de colonização amazônica. Thesis (Doctorate) – Escola Politécnica da Universidade de São Paulo.